Polymarket Trader

Bambinoroma

0x9c6f80b8555f6723f252246ff39219de5ff6d83f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $582.88
Realized PnL: $336.49
Win rate: 75%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 4
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $975
Potential profit: $975
User PnL: -$78

Yes position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $785.24
Potential profit: $785.24
User PnL: -$85.85

Yes position

Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $449.15
Potential profit: $449.15
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Fernando Haddad finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $5.81
Potential payout: $400.55
Potential profit: $394.74
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: -$24.19

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300.01
Potential profit: $300.01
User PnL: -$111

Yes position

Will Vance visit the Middle East by March 31?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $218.01
Potential profit: $218.01
User PnL: -$29.4

Yes position

Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%?

Ends Jan 12, 2027

Implied probability: 37.5%
Current value: $78.14
Potential payout: $208.36
Potential profit: $130.23
Multiplier: 2.67x
User PnL: $23.14

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $192.99
Potential payout: $193.47
Potential profit: $0.48
User PnL: $32.99

Yes position

US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $182.52
Potential profit: $182.52
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $163.34
Potential payout: $163.34
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $85.34

Yes position

No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $161.98
Potential profit: $161.98
User PnL: -$30.5

Yes position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $146.34
Potential profit: $146.34
User PnL: -$60

Yes position

Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $121.95
Potential profit: $121.95
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $119.98
Potential profit: $119.98
User PnL: -$60

Yes position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $107.14
Potential profit: $107.14
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.50% and 5.99%?

Ends Jan 12, 2027

Implied probability: 16.3%
Current value: $16.89
Potential payout: $103.64
Potential profit: $86.74
Multiplier: 6.13x
User PnL: $6.89

Yes position

Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.50% and 4.99%?

Ends Jan 12, 2027

Implied probability: 30.3%
Current value: $31.34
Potential payout: $103.61
Potential profit: $72.27
Multiplier: 3.31x
User PnL: -$1.16

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be between 1.25T and 1.50T?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $95.52
Potential profit: $95.52
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $92.59
Potential profit: $92.59
User PnL: -$50

No position

Iran leadership change by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $83.77
Potential payout: $83.77
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $18.77

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $82.61
Potential profit: $82.61
User PnL: -$17.3

Yes position

Will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be between 1.50T and 1.75T?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $66.67
Potential profit: $66.67
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 16%
Current value: $10.6
Potential payout: $66.27
Potential profit: $55.66
Multiplier: 6.25x
User PnL: -$19.4

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $277.59

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.02

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.67

Yes position

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 5%
Multiplier: 20.20x
User PnL: -$11.79

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?

Yes 22.3% 449.15 shares
Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?

Yes 41% 121.95 shares
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 10?

Up 54% 55.56 shares
Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?

Yes 81% 12.35 shares
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?

Yes 23% 43.48 shares
Anthropic IPO before 2027?

Yes 52.5% 47.65 shares
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by April 30?

Yes 18% 55.56 shares
Will Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?

Yes 45.3% 66.27 shares
Will Caesars Entertainment, Inc. be acquired before 2027?

Yes 53.5% 18.7 shares
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?

Yes 18.4% 27.17 shares
Iran leadership change by May 31?

No 79.8% 62.65 shares
Iran leadership change by April 30?

No 88% 34.09 shares