Polymarket Trader

hello112

0x9c75d07349ce302e4f694c9daa81a93993495d84

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.37K
Realized PnL: $959.84
Win rate: 80%
Open positions: 18
Closed positions: 20
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 37.8%
Current value: $756
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.24K
Multiplier: 2.65x
User PnL: -$244

No position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 62.2%
Current value: $1.24K
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $756
Multiplier: 1.61x
User PnL: $244

Trail Blazers position

Pistons vs. Trail Blazers

Ends Dec 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.02K
Potential profit: $1.02K
User PnL: -$336.91

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $79.5
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $220.5
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: -$16.5

No position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $176.99
Potential payout: $199.99
Potential profit: $23
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $61

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 75%
Current value: $74.99
Potential payout: $99.99
Potential profit: $25
Multiplier: 1.33x
User PnL: $40.99

No position

U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.83
Potential profit: $24.83
User PnL: -$18.37

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$16.4

Hornets position

Pistons vs. Hornets

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.99
Potential profit: $19.99
User PnL: -$12.39

Yes position

Will Trump deport 400-500k people?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 38.5%
Current value: $6.56
Potential payout: $17.04
Potential profit: $10.48
Multiplier: 2.60x
User PnL: $1.42

No position

Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$8.9

No position

Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$8.3

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.4%
Current value: $1.23
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $8.77
Multiplier: 8.10x
User PnL: -$0.28

Yes position

No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $1.35
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $8.65
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: $0.25

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $9.05
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $0.95
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $0.55

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.6%
Current value: $9.46
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $0.54
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $0.47

No position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 81.8%
Current value: $6.53
Potential payout: $7.99
Potential profit: $1.46
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: -$0.54

Bucks position

Thunder vs. Bucks

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.27
Potential profit: $2.27
User PnL: -$0.09

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Pistons position

Hawks vs. Pistons

Ends Dec 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $835.75

Hornets position

Hawks vs. Hornets

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75

Celtics position

Bulls vs. Celtics

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22

No position

US forces enter Iran by March 14?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.4

Hawks position

Hawks vs. Warriors

Ends Jan 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.7

Yes position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.7

No position

Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 99%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $3.56

Yes position

Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.26

No position

U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.4

Thunder position

Heat vs. Thunder

Ends Jan 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.4

Yes position

Will the DHS shutdown last 21 days or more?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.9

No position

Will Robinhood be accused of insider trading?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.66

No position

US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.32

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.21

No position

US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.16

Yes position

Will the DHS shutdown last 14 days or more?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.12

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $410 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.8

Yes position

Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$9.9

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by May 31?

Yes 14% 100 shares
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Yes 43% 200 shares
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $410 in May?

No 43% 400 shares
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?

Yes 86% 5.26 shares
Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition?

No 99.6% 10 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 15.1% 10 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 88.5% 7.99 shares
Will Robinhood be accused of insider trading?

No 93.4% 10 shares
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?

Yes 99.6% 40 shares
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?

No 83% 10 shares
Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition?

No 64% 10 shares
No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027

Yes 11% 10 shares