No position
Megaquake by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Current value
- $63.67
- Potential payout
- $65
- Potential profit
- $1.33
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $1.2
Polymarket Trader
nigulrauertfe
0x9c76c910c3d722c6b2f9b8d8d1046cb19a553cd5
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $209.27
- Realized PnL
- $3.91
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 9
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 90.4%
- Current value
- $47.89
- Potential payout
- $53
- Potential profit
- $5.11
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- -$2.36
No position
Will Jack Draper win the 2026 Men's US Open?
Ends Sep 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.4%
- Current value
- $50.16
- Potential payout
- $51
- Potential profit
- $0.84
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.18
No position
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 93.3%
- Current value
- $47.56
- Potential payout
- $51
- Potential profit
- $3.44
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$1.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.4
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.17
No position
Will inflation reach more than 10% in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.82
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $170 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will Renan Santos win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Ed Miliband be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will New York Mets win the 2026 National League Championship Series?
Ends Nov 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.05
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?No 93% 20 shares