Polymarket Trader

polibetsi

0x9c791b4e0c61785e4c27cfe60f2699f501f9efe0

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $810.86
Realized PnL: -$645.68
Win rate: 40%
Open positions: 5
Closed positions: 10
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.6%
Current value: $262.78
Potential payout: $3.98K
Potential profit: $3.72K
Multiplier: 15.15x
User PnL: -$139.24

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.7%
Current value: $234.91
Potential payout: $1.26K
Potential profit: $1.02K
Multiplier: 5.35x
User PnL: $124.94

Yes position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $1.17
Potential payout: $781.78
Potential profit: $780.61
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$105.85

No position

Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?

Ends Oct 24, 2027

Implied probability: 52%
Current value: $312
Potential payout: $599.99
Potential profit: $288
Multiplier: 1.92x
User PnL: $6

Yes position

Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $270.27
Potential profit: $270.27
User PnL: -$100

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $104.89

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 23.1%
Multiplier: 4.34x
User PnL: $21.5

Yes position

Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 3.6%
Multiplier: 28.17x
User PnL: $6.36

Yes position

Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.4%
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: $5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$21

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$57.8

No position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$90.72

No position

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$112.92

No position

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$500

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 19.4% 51.39 shares
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Yes 0.1% 49.9 shares
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Yes 0.1% 43.77 shares
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Yes 0.1% 142.51 shares
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Yes 0.1% 939.64 shares
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

No 0.9% 898.18 shares
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Yes 12.1% 997.52 shares
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Yes 25.8% 500 shares
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

No 11% 898.18 shares
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Yes 6.5% 1,639.34 shares
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Yes 13.7% 710.07 shares
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 2.1% 5,000 shares