Polymarket Trader

fjwalnuts

0x9c8c01656d5bcde82bba4325bdcd27051ba77026

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $92.2
Realized PnL: $422.14
Win rate: 66.7%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

S&P 500 all time high by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.88K
Potential profit: $2.88K
User PnL: -$47.99

Yes position

Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Oviedo end in a draw?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$36

Yes position

Will NYC have less than 2 inches of precipitation in February?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.53K
Potential profit: $1.53K
User PnL: -$52.52

Yes position

Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in January 2026?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.24K
Potential profit: $1.24K
User PnL: -$100

No position

Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in January 2026?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Seattle have between 6 and 7 inches of precipitation in March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$24

Yes position

Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.2%
Current value: $13.96
Potential payout: $332.42
Potential profit: $318.46
Multiplier: 23.81x
User PnL: -$76.04

Yes position

Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Betis Balompié end in a draw?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $251.29
Potential profit: $251.29
User PnL: -$10

Patriots position

Seahawks vs. Patriots

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$80

No position

Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?

Ends Jan 10, 2027

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $50.69
Potential payout: $206.91
Potential profit: $156.22
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: -$25.84

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 6°C or below on April 10?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $170.11
Potential profit: $170.11
User PnL: -$58.02

No position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 62-63°F on April 21?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $164.78
Potential profit: $164.78
User PnL: -$48.23

No position

Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-07?

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $125
User PnL: -$50

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 56°F or higher on April 29?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $117.29
Potential profit: $117.29
User PnL: -$58.5

Yes position

Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-28?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$19

Yes position

Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-01-28?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$20

No position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C or higher on April 9?

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $97.06
Potential profit: $97.06
User PnL: -$58.82

No position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 8?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $92.05
Potential profit: $92.05
User PnL: -$50

No position

Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-02-07?

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $90
Potential profit: $90
User PnL: -$51.3

No position

Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-01-31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $88
Potential profit: $88
User PnL: -$50.16

Yes position

Will Valencia CF vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $86.96
Potential profit: $86.96
User PnL: -$20

No position

Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 32.5%
Current value: $27.54
Potential payout: $84.75
Potential profit: $57.2
Multiplier: 3.08x
User PnL: -$22.46

No position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on April 22?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $78.93
Potential profit: $78.93
User PnL: -$38.99

No position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on April 25?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $65.3
Potential profit: $65.3
User PnL: -$39.2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C or higher on April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $114.98

Yes position

Will Girona FC vs. Getafe CF end in a draw?

Ends Jan 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65.26

No position

Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.99

No position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C or higher on April 22?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.15

Yes position

Will Seattle have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in February?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $34.15

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on April 25?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.38

Yes position

Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-01-18?

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.39

Yes position

Tim Walz charged by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $20.25

Yes position

Will NYC have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.93

Yes position

Will Seattle have between 5 and 6 inches of precipitation in March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.81

Yes position

Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 75.5%
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $11.65

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.63

Yes position

Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-18?

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.46

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on December 30?

Ends Dec 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.62

Yes position

Will NYC have between 2 and 3 inches of precipitation in February?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.5

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.1%
Multiplier: 16.39x
User PnL: $0.91

Yes position

Will 2026 be the fifth-hottest year on record?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: $0

No position

Will US GDP growth in Q3 2025 be less than 1.0%?

Ends Oct 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.02

Yes position

Will Jaylen Brown win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.86

No position

Will Seattle have less than 3 inches of precipitation in February?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.5

Yes position

Will NYC have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in February?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.03

Yes position

Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.03

Yes position

Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.03

Yes position

Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.44

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 8?

No 54.3% 92.05 shares
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?

Yes 66.6% 80 shares
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 56°F or higher on April 29?

No 49.9% 117.29 shares
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on April 25?

No 63.1% 62.21 shares
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on April 25?

No 60% 65.3 shares
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on April 22?

No 49.4% 78.93 shares
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C or higher on April 22?

No 48.6% 80.12 shares
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 62-63°F on April 21?

No 29.3% 164.78 shares
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 6°C or below on April 10?

Yes 34.1% 170.11 shares
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C or higher on April 9?

No 60.6% 97.06 shares
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C or higher on April 7?

No 29.6% 163.22 shares
Will NYC have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in March?

Yes 28% 7.12 shares