Polymarket Trader

0x9c8Ee2d2b2885238201E75BB0dB0937B40162bb0-1777844290309

0x9c8ee2d2b2885238201e75bb0db0937b40162bb0

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $396.78
Realized PnL: $600.79
Win rate: 44.4%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 9
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.5K
Potential profit: $7.5K
User PnL: -$57

No position

GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 23%
Current value: $395.51
Potential payout: $1.72K
Potential profit: $1.32K
Multiplier: 4.35x
User PnL: $265.51

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $1.27
Potential payout: $847.62
Potential profit: $846.35
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$228.73

Yes position

Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $714.29
Potential profit: $714.29
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $444.69
Potential profit: $444.69
User PnL: -$213

Yes position

Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $416.67
Potential profit: $416.67
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $358.75
Potential profit: $358.75
User PnL: -$10

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
User PnL: $331.36

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $330.88

Karmine Corp position

LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.04

Yes position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.05

Yes position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.8%
Multiplier: 26.67x
User PnL: -$12.07

Yes position

Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$13.42

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$17.21

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$25.41

Yes position

Iran coup attempt by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Multiplier: 83.33x
User PnL: -$25.43

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?

Yes 2% 78.94 shares
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?

Yes 19% 78.95 shares
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15?

Yes 14% 714.29 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 27.1% 738.53 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 27.5% 109.09 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Yes 76.2% 454.54 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Yes 3.3% 454.55 shares
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?

No 7.6% 1,719.59 shares
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?

Yes 0.1% 2,000 shares
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?

Yes 1% 5,500 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Yes 13% 411.76 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Yes 17% 411.76 shares