ytchg

Implied probability: 66.5%
Current value: $33.56
Potential payout: $50.51
Potential profit: $16.95
Multiplier: 1.50x
User PnL: -$2.54

Yes position

Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 44.5%
Current value: $22.25
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $27.75
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: $5.75

No position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on June 22?

Implied probability: 62.5%
Current value: $28.58
Potential payout: $45.72
Potential profit: $17.15
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: -$3.43

No position

Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?

Implied probability: 66.3%
Current value: $29.26
Potential payout: $44.13
Potential profit: $14.87
Multiplier: 1.51x
User PnL: -$1.01

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on June 23?

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $6.2
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $33.8
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$0.4

No position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on June 22?

Implied probability: 69.5%
Current value: $27.8
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $12.2
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: -$0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 29°C on June 22?

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $2.6
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $37.4
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$2.2

No position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on June 23?

Implied probability: 62%
Current value: $21.3
Potential payout: $34.35
Potential profit: $13.05
Multiplier: 1.61x
User PnL: -$0.26

No position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on June 22?

Implied probability: 67.5%
Current value: $19.38
Potential payout: $28.71
Potential profit: $9.33
Multiplier: 1.48x
User PnL: $0.12

No position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on June 22?

Implied probability: 72.7%
Current value: $15.96
Potential payout: $21.95
Potential profit: $5.99
Multiplier: 1.38x
User PnL: $0.9

No position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 29°C on June 23?

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $16.3
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $3.7
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: -$0.9

No position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on June 23?

Implied probability: 71.5%
Current value: $14.3
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $5.7
Multiplier: 1.40x
User PnL: -$0.3

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 22?

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $3.9
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $16.1
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: -$0.5

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on June 22?

Implied probability: 79.5%
Current value: $15.9
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $4.1
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: -$0.1

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 22?

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $19.87
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $0.13
User PnL: $1.47

Yes position

Will Multipli.fi launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 69%
Current value: $13.8
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $6.2
Multiplier: 1.45x
User PnL: -$1.4

No position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 23?

Implied probability: 70.5%
Current value: $14.1
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $5.9
Multiplier: 1.42x
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will Tori launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $4.21
Potential payout: $19.56
Potential profit: $15.35
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: $0.1

No position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on June 23?

Implied probability: 70.5%
Current value: $13.36
Potential payout: $18.96
Potential profit: $5.59
Multiplier: 1.42x
User PnL: $0.28

No position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on June 22?

Implied probability: 48%
Current value: $8.42
Potential payout: $17.55
Potential profit: $9.13
Multiplier: 2.08x
User PnL: -$0.88

No position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on June 22?

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $10.93
Potential payout: $13.42
Potential profit: $2.48
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: -$0.87

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on June 22?

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $1.05
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $8.95
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$0.55

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?

Implied probability: 33.7%
Multiplier: 2.97x
User PnL: $18.99

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on June 21?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $17.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $15.27

Yes position

Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $15.2

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.75

Up position

Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on June 3?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13

No position

Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?

Implied probability: 33.6%
Multiplier: 2.98x
User PnL: $12.82

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.14

Yes position

Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?

Implied probability: 46%
Multiplier: 2.17x
User PnL: $8.9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 22?

Implied probability: 31.5%
Multiplier: 3.17x
User PnL: $8.87

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.8

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 22?

Implied probability: 8.5%
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: $6.72

No position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.23

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $5.69

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.36

Yes position

Will Propr launch a token by June 30, 2027?

Ends Jul 1, 2027

Implied probability: 78.5%
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $4

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.4

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 12.5%
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: $2.8

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on June 22?

Implied probability: 43.5%
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: $2.44

Yes position

Will Claire Valdez win the NY-07 Democratic Primary by 5–10%?

Implied probability: 23.4%
Multiplier: 4.27x
User PnL: $2.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 22?

Implied probability: 33.5%
Multiplier: 2.99x
User PnL: $1.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on June 23?

Implied probability: 29.5%
Multiplier: 3.39x
User PnL: $1.03

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on June 21?

Implied probability: 13.4%
Multiplier: 7.46x
User PnL: $0.94

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on June 21?