Polymarket Trader

0x9c9AF7AaBCcFA292744DB4fa3ca6BB380cC4Db7f-1767712904454

0x9c9af7aabccfa292744db4fa3ca6bb380cc4db7f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $328.03
Realized PnL: $230.85
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 20
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $106.29
Potential payout: $250.1
Potential profit: $143.81
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: -$3.71

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.1%
Current value: $44.41
Potential payout: $221.49
Potential profit: $177.08
Multiplier: 4.99x
User PnL: -$25.59

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 12.2%
Current value: $25.58
Potential payout: $210.53
Potential profit: $184.95
Multiplier: 8.23x
User PnL: -$16.42

Yes position

Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $15.49
Potential payout: $206.49
Potential profit: $191.01
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$24.51

Yes position

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $11.26
Potential payout: $107.23
Potential profit: $95.97
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$18.74

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $42.64
Potential payout: $70.48
Potential profit: $27.84
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: $4.64

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40.88
Potential profit: $40.88
User PnL: -$20

No position

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 67.5%
Current value: $27.55
Potential payout: $40.82
Potential profit: $13.27
Multiplier: 1.48x
User PnL: $7.55

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 25.6%
Current value: $9.46
Potential payout: $37.04
Potential profit: $27.57
Multiplier: 3.91x
User PnL: $4.46

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35.09
Potential profit: $35.09
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.85
Potential profit: $28.85
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.81
Potential profit: $23.81
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.22
Potential profit: $22.22
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $3.64
Potential payout: $22.04
Potential profit: $18.41
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$6.36

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $14.91
Potential payout: $17.86
Potential profit: $2.95
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $4.91

Yes position

Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 21%
Current value: $3.39
Potential payout: $16.13
Potential profit: $12.74
Multiplier: 4.76x
User PnL: -$1.61

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 75%
Current value: $11.19
Potential payout: $14.93
Potential profit: $3.73
Multiplier: 1.33x
User PnL: $1.19

No position

Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.5%
Current value: $12.22
Potential payout: $12.66
Potential profit: $0.44
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $2.22

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.36
Potential profit: $11.36
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.83

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.81

No position

Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.29

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.26

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.18

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.05

Yes position

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of February 2 above $180?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10

Yes position

US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10

Yes position

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Multiplier: 22.47x
User PnL: $9.96

No position

Government shutdown on Saturday?

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.44

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.27

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.24

No position

Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 2?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.67

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.67

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.39

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.97

Yes position

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: $5

T1 position

LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3)

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.79

Yes position

Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.64

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.49

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.49

Yes position

Any EU nation's debt downgraded before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.22

No position

Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.2

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Yes 43% 116.28 shares
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?

Yes 43% 23.26 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?

Yes 67% 14.93 shares
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 57% 17.54 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Yes 2.9% 23.25 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

No 56% 17.86 shares
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?

Yes 59% 16.95 shares
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?

Yes 45% 22.22 shares
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?

Yes 56% 17.86 shares
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?

Yes 52% 28.85 shares
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?

Yes 40% 25 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?

Yes 58% 17.24 shares