No position
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $387.02
- Potential profit
- $387.02
- User PnL
- -$11.98
Polymarket Trader
0x9ca2...b467
0x9ca25ea059d8c0b2aa02e5c7ba7ce83a521bb467
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $83.78
- Realized PnL
- $267.11
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in July 2026?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.7%
- Current value
- $8.22
- Potential payout
- $122.67
- Potential profit
- $114.45
- Multiplier
- 14.93x
- User PnL
- -$0.68
Yes position
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $82.4
- Potential profit
- $82.4
- User PnL
- -$8.24
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $62.37
- Potential profit
- $62.37
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $450 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $0.84
- Potential payout
- $49.2
- Potential profit
- $48.36
- Multiplier
- 58.82x
- User PnL
- -$4.08
Yes position
Will Claude Code Commits be between 550.0k and 600.0k on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 30.5%
- Current value
- $14.46
- Potential payout
- $47.39
- Potential profit
- $32.94
- Multiplier
- 3.28x
- User PnL
- $6.71
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in July 2026?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.6%
- Current value
- $2.69
- Potential payout
- $35.58
- Potential profit
- $32.89
- Multiplier
- 13.25x
- User PnL
- -$0.37
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33
- Potential profit
- $33
- User PnL
- -$2.97
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $26.7
- Potential profit
- $26.7
- User PnL
- -$2.75
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.03
- Potential payout
- $23
- Potential profit
- $22.97
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$4.8
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in June 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $3.9
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $16.1
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- -$0.9
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.7%
- Current value
- $0.74
- Potential payout
- $16
- Potential profit
- $15.26
- Multiplier
- 21.51x
- User PnL
- -$8.7
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.47
- Potential profit
- $15.47
- User PnL
- -$4.95
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $15
- User PnL
- -$5.26
No position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Current value
- $11.75
- Potential payout
- $12
- Potential profit
- $0.25
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $2.33
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $10.86
- Potential payout
- $12
- Potential profit
- $1.14
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $4.86
Yes position
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.22
- Potential profit
- $11.22
- User PnL
- -$3.3
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $9.18
- Potential payout
- $10.15
- Potential profit
- $0.96
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $3.44
Yes position
US recession by end of 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $1.05
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $8.95
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$3.95
No position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.1%
- Current value
- $6.8
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $1.2
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $0.56
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.13
- Potential profit
- $7.13
- User PnL
- -$1.96
No position
Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $4.09
- Potential payout
- $7.11
- Potential profit
- $3.02
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- -$0.39
No position
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $6.04
- Potential payout
- $6.08
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- User PnL
- $0.88
Yes position
Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be below -4% in May?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.9%
- Current value
- $3.12
- Potential payout
- $6.01
- Potential profit
- $2.9
- Multiplier
- 1.93x
- User PnL
- $0.3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Ethereum reach $2,150 on March 15?
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.14
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.95
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.56
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.3
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.61
Yes position
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 20, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on March 12?
Ends Mar 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.21
Hurricanes position
Hurricanes vs. Utah
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.81
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.4
Hornets position
Hornets vs. Kings
Ends Mar 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10
Avalanche position
Avalanche vs. Oilers
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.62
Real Madrid CF position
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.62
Yes position
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.62
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.57
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 11?
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.5
76ers position
76ers vs. Kings
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.14
Yes position
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.56
Lakers position
Lakers vs. Magic
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.24
Hawks position
Hawks vs. Magic
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.24
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 12?
Ends Mar 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6
Nuggets position
Spread: Nuggets (-16.5)
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.63
Magic position
Cavaliers vs. Magic
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.5
Islanders position
Panthers vs. Islanders
Ends Mar 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.48
Over position
SMU Mustangs vs. Miami (OH) RedHawks: O/U 164.5
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.31
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $216 in June?No 95.2% 2.01 shares
- Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be below -4% in May?Yes 46.9% 6.01 shares
- Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on June 24?No 20% 5 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 25?No 55% 8.15 shares
- Will Claude Code Commits be between 550.0k and 600.0k on June 30?Yes 23.3% 10.53 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 25?No 63% 2 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 24?No 86% 2 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down on June 23?Down 80% 2 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in July 2026?Yes 7.9% 37.47 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in July 2026?Yes 7% 42.6 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in July 2026?Yes 6.9% 42.61 shares
- Will Claude Code Commits be between 550.0k and 600.0k on June 30?Yes 17% 8.24 shares