erna1

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $42.84
Potential payout: $42.86
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $12.84

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on June 23?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.38
Potential profit: $25.38
User PnL: -$5.06

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on May 22?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$0.93

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on June 23?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.27
Potential profit: $24.27
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 25?

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $20.06
Potential payout: $20.08
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $12.06

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on May 22?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.47
Potential profit: $19.47
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 29°C on June 23?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.93
Potential profit: $17.93
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on May 23?

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.86
Potential profit: $17.86
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 72-73°F on May 23?

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.66
Potential profit: $17.66
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.72
Potential profit: $16.72
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on June 23?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.95
Potential profit: $13.95
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 29°C on June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.41
Potential profit: $12.41
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.75
Potential profit: $10.75
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on June 2?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.81
Potential profit: $8.81
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on May 26?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.54
Potential profit: $8.54
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on May 22?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.33
Potential profit: $8.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on May 23?

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.33
Potential profit: $8.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 64-65°F on May 22?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.33
Potential profit: $8.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 30°C on May 22?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8
Potential profit: $8
User PnL: -$0.8

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.69
Potential profit: $7.69
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on June 23?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.64
Potential profit: $7.64
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on June 25?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.41
Potential profit: $7.4
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 33°C on June 25?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.14
Potential profit: $7.14
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on June 23?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.35
Potential profit: $6.35
User PnL: -$4

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $173.91

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $167.06

Up position

XRP Up or Down - February 11, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $128.97

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET

Ends Feb 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $88.1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $87.62

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $85.8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $84.04

Down position

XRP Up or Down - February 10, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $79.4

Up position

XRP Up or Down - February 9, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.47

Up position

XRP Up or Down - February 7, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $67.73

Down position

Solana Up or Down - February 10, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.78

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 7, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.3

Up position

Solana Up or Down - February 10, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.44

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 10, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.41

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 7, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.86

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.98

Down position

Solana Up or Down - February 6, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.26

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET

Ends Feb 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.13

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.1

Down position

XRP Up or Down - February 6, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.97

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.21

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.21

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.9

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET