Yes position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 30.5%
- Current value
- $7.73K
- Potential payout
- $25.34K
- Potential profit
- $17.61K
- Multiplier
- 3.28x
- User PnL
- $1.64K
Polymarket Trader
Scrimpy
0x9cab6c8ce423e51ed8f887ac722d787f5740f7c2
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $14.17K
- Realized PnL
- $3.71K
- Win rate
- 60.9%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 23
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Ebola pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $5.86K
- Potential payout
- $6.33K
- Potential profit
- $474.75
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $31.65
No position
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $526.23
- Potential payout
- $630.21
- Potential profit
- $103.98
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- -$9.45
Yes position
Ghana vs. Panama: Both Teams to Score
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Current value
- $24.25
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $25.75
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Over position
Ghana vs. Panama: O/U 2.5
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Current value
- $20.25
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $29.75
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- $0.25
Under position
England vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Current value
- $13.13
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $11.88
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- -$0.38
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.09K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.41K
No position
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $396.96
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $257.5
No position
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $196.77
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $174.89
Yes position
Liberal majority in Canadian Parliament by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $122.82
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $60
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.59
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.1
Yes position
Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9
No position
Will João Cotrim de Figueiredo qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.35
No position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.05
Yes position
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11%
- Multiplier
- 9.09x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.3
Yes position
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair before May 15?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.33
No position
Will Trump talk to Friedrich Merz in January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$11.26
No position
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- -$44.72
Yes position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$45.42
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$198.92
Yes position
Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$736.5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- England vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5Under 54% 25 shares
- Ghana vs. Panama: Both Teams to ScoreYes 49% 50 shares
- Ghana vs. Panama: O/U 2.5Over 40% 50 shares
- Ebola pandemic in 2026?No 92% 170 shares
- Will GameStop acquire eBay?No 85% 100 shares
- Will GameStop acquire eBay?No 85% 350 shares
- Will GameStop acquire eBay?No 84% 700 shares
- Ebola pandemic in 2026?No 92% 638.78 shares
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No 95.5% 3,505.3 shares
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No 95.7% 1,044.18 shares
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No 95.8% 500 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 97.5% 756.17 shares