No position
GPT-5.6 released by July 17, 2026?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 31.5%
- Current value
- $87.57
- Potential payout
- $278
- Potential profit
- $190.43
- Multiplier
- 3.17x
- User PnL
- $6.95
Polymarket Trader
kir18
0x9cb058b33b03fb434c33a1d7ff47a6fec1e335fd
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $564.45
- Realized PnL
- $1.04K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.9%
- Current value
- $117.2
- Potential payout
- $273.51
- Potential profit
- $156.31
- Multiplier
- 2.33x
- User PnL
- -$82.97
No position
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $221.55
- Potential payout
- $223.33
- Potential profit
- $1.79
- User PnL
- $91.15
No position
DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $196.4
- Potential profit
- $196.4
- User PnL
- -$51.06
No position
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 74%
- Current value
- $92.55
- Potential payout
- $125.06
- Potential profit
- $32.52
- Multiplier
- 1.35x
- User PnL
- $57.33
No position
Human moon landing in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.1%
- Current value
- $45.59
- Potential payout
- $46.95
- Potential profit
- $1.36
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $1.39
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $151
No position
Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $117.53
No position
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 38%
- Multiplier
- 2.63x
- User PnL
- $114.04
Yes position
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 15%
- Multiplier
- 6.69x
- User PnL
- $101.12
Yes position
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $80.81
No position
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 74%
- Multiplier
- 1.35x
- User PnL
- $57
No position
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 20, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.6
Yes position
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $45.05
No position
DeepSeek V4 released by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.25
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.84
No position
Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.7
Yes position
Will Alex Ovechkin break the scoring record this season?
Ends Apr 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30
Yes position
US strike on Cuba by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $27.25
Yes position
Will Claude Mythos be released on or prior to June 9?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.97
No position
Will GPT-6 be released by March 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.27
No position
Will Wei Yi win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.55
No position
US forcibly removes Khamenei from power by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.69
No position
GTA VI released in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.18
Yes position
Will GPT-5 be released by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.17
No position
DeepSeek V4 released by February 28?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.16
Yes position
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.8%
- Multiplier
- 8.51x
- User PnL
- $9.79
No position
Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" 15+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?
Ends Aug 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.16
No position
Will any AI score ≥85% on ARC-AGI-2 by November 3?
Ends Nov 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.04
No position
Will Trump say "Marco" or "Rubio" during Zelensky events on August 18?
Ends Aug 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.62
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- GPT-5.6 released by July 17, 2026?No 29% 278 shares
- Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?No 39% 65.82 shares
- Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?No 32.3% 211.06 shares
- Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?No 58% 380 shares
- Will Claude Mythos be released on or prior to June 9?Yes 70.2% 179.11 shares
- Will Claude Mythos be released on or prior to June 9?Yes 57% 180 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 68% 13.24 shares
- Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?No 65.9% 152 shares
- Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?No 60% 133.33 shares
- DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?No 26% 100.54 shares
- Will Wei Yi win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?No 99.9% 268.81 shares
- AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?Yes 27% 14.88 shares