Yes position
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $0.94
- Potential payout
- $144
- Potential profit
- $143.06
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
Polymarket Trader
veerde
0x9cd302e9189a503f31ddf1bd38e2d34b578c3e49
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $68.27
- Realized PnL
- $407.29
- Win rate
- 91.7%
- Open positions
- 15
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $6.72
- Potential payout
- $64
- Potential profit
- $57.28
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$0.96
Yes position
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Current value
- $1.13
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $48.88
- Multiplier
- 44.44x
- User PnL
- $0.03
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.8%
- Current value
- $3.53
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $26.48
- Multiplier
- 8.51x
- User PnL
- $0.73
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.7%
- Current value
- $2
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $28.01
- Multiplier
- 15.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.8%
- Current value
- $4.13
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $25.88
- Multiplier
- 7.27x
- User PnL
- -$0.13
Y
Yes position
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Current value
- $9.2
- Potential payout
- $20.22
- Potential profit
- $11.02
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- $4.95
No position
Next Mythos-Class Model released by July 31, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Current value
- $15.3
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $4.7
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Yes position
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 62.5%
- Current value
- $6.25
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $3.75
- Multiplier
- 1.60x
- User PnL
- -$0.15
Yes position
Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $2.15
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $7.85
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Under position
United States vs. Australia: O/U 2.5
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $5.15
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $4.85
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Under position
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 2.5
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $5.75
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $4.25
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
No position
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Current value
- $5.05
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $4.95
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- $0.55
Over position
Ghana vs. Panama: O/U 2.5
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$4.1
Yes position
Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 58%
- Current value
- $1
- Potential payout
- $1.72
- Potential profit
- $0.72
- Multiplier
- 1.72x
- User PnL
- $0.31
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 47%
- Multiplier
- 2.13x
- User PnL
- $177.87
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 71%
- Multiplier
- 1.41x
- User PnL
- $129.53
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 53%
- Multiplier
- 1.89x
- User PnL
- $29
N
No position
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 54.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.83x
- User PnL
- $24.05
No position
Will England win on 2026-06-17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $14.5
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $7.1
Over position
France vs. Senegal: O/U 3.5
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.12
Yes position
Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.5
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.05
Over position
France vs. Senegal: O/U 1.5
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.4
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.95
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.77
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.33
Croatia position
Spread: Croatia (-1.5)
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.14
No position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.85
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.85
Yes position
Will "My Hero Academia FINAL SEASON" win Anime of the Year at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.75
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.59
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.37
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.23
Yes position
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- $0.18
Yes position
Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.85
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 87% 109.99 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes 67% 5 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes 63% 50 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?Yes 13% 189.99 shares
- Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?Yes 35% 30 shares
- Will England win on 2026-06-17?No 50% 50 shares
- Will England win on 2026-06-17?No 21% 25 shares
- Will England win on 2026-06-17?No 21% 25 shares
- Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?Yes 17% 20 shares
- Spread: Croatia (-1.5)Croatia 1.3% 76.43 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?Yes 25% 224.99 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?Yes 26% 104.69 shares