Polymarket Trader

0x9cd53Fa3922044eAac7e3Ca3f95dE42Ae1ccc868-1777568288471

0x9cd53fa3922044eaac7e3ca3f95de42ae1ccc868

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $20.31
Realized PnL: $3.71
Win rate: 62.5%
Open positions: 20
Closed positions: 8
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $111.11
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 13.7%
Current value: $1.3
Potential payout: $9.52
Potential profit: $8.22
Multiplier: 7.33x
User PnL: $0.3

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 15.2%
Current value: $0.95
Potential payout: $6.25
Potential profit: $5.3
Multiplier: 6.60x
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.95
Potential profit: $5.95
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

US recession by end of 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2027

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $0.61
Potential payout: $5.26
Potential profit: $4.66
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$0.39

No position

Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 200,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.26
Potential profit: $5.26
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will a new Gemini flagship be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 92.9%
Current value: $4.67
Potential payout: $5.03
Potential profit: $0.36
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $3.67

Yes position

Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 40.5%
Current value: $1.01
Potential payout: $2.5
Potential profit: $1.49
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: $0.01

Yes position

Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?

Ends Sep 20, 2026

Implied probability: 34.5%
Current value: $0.8
Potential payout: $2.33
Potential profit: $1.52
Multiplier: 2.90x
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $1.34
Potential payout: $2.33
Potential profit: $0.99
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: $0.34

No position

Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 96.7%
Current value: $2
Potential payout: $2.07
Potential profit: $0.07
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: -$0

No position

Another pandemic before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 49.5%
Current value: $0.99
Potential payout: $2
Potential profit: $1.01
Multiplier: 2.02x
User PnL: -$0.01

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $1.47
Potential payout: $1.47
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.47

No position

Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 84%
Current value: $1.05
Potential payout: $1.25
Potential profit: $0.2
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: $0.05

Yes position

Will Andrea Martella win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.2
Potential profit: $1.2
User PnL: -$1

No position

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 84%
Current value: $0.99
Potential payout: $1.18
Potential profit: $0.19
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: -$0.01

No position

Trump out as President before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $1.04
Potential payout: $1.15
Potential profit: $0.11
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $0.04

No position

Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $1.01
Potential payout: $1.11
Potential profit: $0.11
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.11
Potential profit: $1.11
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.2% and 2.4%?

Ends Jan 19, 2027

Implied probability: 99%
Current value: $1.1
Potential payout: $1.11
Potential profit: $0.01
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $0.1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will there be fewer than 2 ChatGPT outages in May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.7

Yes position

Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.44

No position

Will Matti Schmid win the 2026 PGA Championship?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.3

No position

Will Finland be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.18

No position

Will Jon Rahm win the 2026 PGA Championship?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.09

Yes position

Will Mercedes get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Reform UK win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

No 89.7% 1.11 shares
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?

Yes 40% 2.5 shares
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?

No 97.9% 1.02 shares
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 16% 6.25 shares
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by June 30, 2026?

No 19.9% 5.03 shares
Will Mercedes get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?

Yes 68% 1.47 shares
Another pandemic before GTA VI?

No 50% 2 shares
US recession by end of 2026?

Yes 19% 5.26 shares
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?

Yes 73% 1.37 shares
Will Matti Schmid win the 2026 PGA Championship?

No 77% 1.3 shares
Will Jon Rahm win the 2026 PGA Championship?

No 91.7% 1.09 shares
Will Finland be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?

No 85% 1.18 shares