RAP6942

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $158.08
Potential profit: $158.08
User PnL: -$3.22

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on May 24?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $156.57
Potential profit: $156.57
User PnL: -$6.58

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on May 24?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $156.5
Potential profit: $156.5
User PnL: -$3.13

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on May 28?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $141.39
Potential profit: $141.39
User PnL: -$5.24

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on May 24?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $102.58
Potential profit: $102.58
User PnL: -$2.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 70-71°F on May 28?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $92.2
Potential profit: $92.2
User PnL: -$4.61

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on May 22?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $77.33
Potential profit: $77.33
User PnL: -$7.32

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on May 23?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $73.75
Potential profit: $73.75
User PnL: -$6.57

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on May 23?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $72.88
Potential profit: $72.88
User PnL: -$2.89

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 21°C on May 23?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $66.15
Potential profit: $66.15
User PnL: -$5.08

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on May 24?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60.8
Potential profit: $60.8
User PnL: -$2.54

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on May 23?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $59.31
Potential profit: $59.31
User PnL: -$6.38

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 4.3%
Current value: $2.53
Potential payout: $58.97
Potential profit: $56.44
Multiplier: 23.31x
User PnL: $0.82

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on May 27?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $57.73
Potential profit: $57.73
User PnL: -$5.52

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on May 23?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $53.98
Potential profit: $53.98
User PnL: -$1.53

No position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 14°C on May 23?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on May 27?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $49.9
Potential profit: $49.9
User PnL: -$2.21

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.07
Potential payout: $44
Potential profit: $43.93
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$1.65

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on May 25?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$5.8

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 23?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38.76
Potential profit: $38.76
User PnL: -$6.46

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 25°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $4.92
Potential payout: $36.43
Potential profit: $31.51
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$0.18

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 26?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.1
Potential profit: $33.1
User PnL: -$6.54

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 8.9%
Current value: $2.91
Potential payout: $32.83
Potential profit: $29.92
Multiplier: 11.30x
User PnL: $1.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on May 25?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.77
Potential profit: $31.77
User PnL: -$6.93

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 4?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $530.48

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 6?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.95

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on May 22?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.91

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on May 5?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.41

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on May 23?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.61

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on May 25?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.72

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on May 23?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.08

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on May 25?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.14

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on May 11?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.58

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C on May 6?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.41

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on May 25?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.37

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 66-67°F on May 27?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8.36

No position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on May 27?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.83

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on May 27?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.82

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on May 26?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.63

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on May 26?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.27

No position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on May 25?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.78

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 25?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.47

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on May 23?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.35

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on May 23?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.95

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 21°C on May 27?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.87

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 17°C on May 11?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.63

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on May 23?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.51

No position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on May 23?