Yes position
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.81K
- Potential profit
- $5.81K
- User PnL
- -$3.31K
Polymarket Trader
DonAntimatter
0x9cd715ff99b1f7182fa555ae8c180c6499909c85
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $8.91K
- Realized PnL
- $41.83K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 13
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Hamas agree to disarm by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.2K
- Potential profit
- $3.2K
- User PnL
- -$599.91
Yes position
Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $3.09K
- Potential payout
- $3.09K
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $1.01K
Yes position
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $14.3
- Potential payout
- $2.6K
- Potential profit
- $2.59K
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$134.36
Yes position
DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.57K
- Potential profit
- $2.57K
- User PnL
- -$1.43K
No position
Another US bank failure by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $2.35K
- Potential payout
- $2.35K
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $507.87
Yes position
DeepSeek V4 released by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.17K
- Potential profit
- $2.17K
- User PnL
- -$1.76K
No position
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Current value
- $1.54K
- Potential payout
- $1.98K
- Potential profit
- $445.83
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- $44.22
No position
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 30.5%
- Current value
- $516.37
- Potential payout
- $1.69K
- Potential profit
- $1.18K
- Multiplier
- 3.28x
- User PnL
- -$72.02
Yes position
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Current value
- $338.2
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.16K
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- -$68.14
Yes position
Will xAI have the best AI model for coding on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.13K
- Potential profit
- $1.13K
- User PnL
- -$89.16
Yes position
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.07K
- Potential payout
- $1.07K
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $249.36
Yes position
Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $8.5
- Potential payout
- $999.95
- Potential profit
- $991.45
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$649.46
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will any AI model reach 1500+ on Chatbot Arena by Dec 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.09K
No position
Will any Google Gemini 3 model score at least 1500 on LMArena by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.53K
Yes position
Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.15K
Yes position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.61K
No position
Will Google be the first company to have an AI model hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.77K
Yes position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?
Ends Oct 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.67K
Yes position
Will France recognize Palestine in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.47K
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.26K
Yes position
Will Jonas Gahr Støre become the next Prime Minister of Norway?
Ends Sep 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.17K
No position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.12K
No position
Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.05K
Yes position
Will Ap win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.03K
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $973.69
No position
Israel strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $971.51
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $900
No position
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $883.55
No position
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $863.26
Yes position
Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $846.85
No position
Another critical Cloudflare incident by January 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $845.6
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $818.4
Yes position
Will Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?
Ends Oct 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $767.83
Yes position
Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $733.42
Yes position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $667.04
Yes position
GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $650.68
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?Yes 31% 1,700 shares
- Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026?Yes 64% 88.37 shares
- Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?No 68% 2,957.57 shares
- Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?Yes 70% 1,040 shares
- Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?Yes 66% 2,045.08 shares
- Will Google have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?No 84% 30 shares
- DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?Yes 35% 938.34 shares
- DeepSeek V4 released by March 31?Yes 59.6% 318.51 shares
- Will Artemis II launch by March 31?Yes 1.9% 2,802.67 shares
- DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?Yes 66% 314 shares
- DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?Yes 66% 189 shares
- Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?Yes 72% 49.43 shares