0x9CDCE20a51554b30228E8089C6E4eC966b6dEc15-1769519481748

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $107.66
Potential profit: $107.66
User PnL: -$3.7

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $107.06
Potential profit: $107.06
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Paddy Pimblett become UFC champion in 2026?

Implied probability: 27.5%
Current value: $28.04
Potential payout: $101.96
Potential profit: $73.92
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: $19.34

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$10

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 31 to February 2, 2026?

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $66.67
Potential profit: $66.67
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.56
Potential profit: $55.56
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $52.23
Potential profit: $52.23
User PnL: -$2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $33.33
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $33.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Carlos Prates be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 4.4%
Current value: $1.26
Potential payout: $28.71
Potential profit: $27.45
Multiplier: 22.73x
User PnL: -$1.24

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 2?

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.7
Potential profit: $21.7
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Shavkat Rakhmonov be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $0.19
Potential payout: $19.22
Potential profit: $19.03
Multiplier: 100.00x
User PnL: -$2.31

Yes position

Will Diego Lopes be the UFC Featherweight Champion on December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.06
Potential payout: $18.52
Potential profit: $18.46
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: -$4.94

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.65
Potential profit: $16.65
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.92
Potential profit: $13.92
User PnL: -$5.57

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.48
Potential profit: $12.48
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.19
Potential profit: $12.19
User PnL: -$5.91

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $10.4
Potential payout: $11.36
Potential profit: $0.97
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $5.4

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 54.5%
Current value: $4.95
Potential payout: $9.09
Potential profit: $4.14
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: -$0.05

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.09
Potential profit: $3.09
User PnL: -$0.99

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.18

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.57

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.22

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Tommy Fleetwood win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.17

Yes position

Will Bryson Dechambeau win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.67

Yes position

Will Sean O'Malley be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 10.5%
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$0.95

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 27?

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Powell say "Trump" during January press conference?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the US strike Iran next?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET