Polymarket Trader

sankuku

0x9ce01577badf063531162e173893174a7c66a730

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $89.51
Realized PnL: $8.06
Win rate: 71.4%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 7
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 3%
Current value: $0.6
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.4
Multiplier: 33.33x
User PnL: -$1.22

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $2.9
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $17.1
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: $1.08

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.97
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$1.79

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $0.18
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.82
Multiplier: 111.11x
User PnL: -$1.64

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $0.17
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.83
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$1.65

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 52.5%
Current value: $10.5
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $9.5
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: $8.68

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.95
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$1.77

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C or below on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.99
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.81

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $0.23
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $14.77
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: -$1.13

No position

Will the lowest temperature in London be 16°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 93.6%
Current value: $14.04
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $0.96
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $1.41

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 90.7%
Current value: $10.83
Potential payout: $11.94
Potential profit: $1.11
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $0.76

No position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 64%
Current value: $6.4
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $3.6
Multiplier: 1.56x
User PnL: $0.75

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 94.2%
Current value: $9.42
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $0.58
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $0.16

No position

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 93.9%
Current value: $9.39
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $0.62
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $0.06

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.07
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.93
Multiplier: 142.86x
User PnL: -$0.41

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 14°C or below on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $9.94
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $0.06
User PnL: $1.05

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 94%
Current value: $9.4
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $0.61
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: -$0.04

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 96.7%
Current value: $4.84
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.17
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: -$0.13

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C or below on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.99
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: -$0.44

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.99
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$0.44

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.99
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.45

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C or below on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.99
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: -$0.44

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $0.11
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.9
Multiplier: 47.62x
User PnL: -$0.35

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $0.38
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.63
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$0.08

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 21%
Multiplier: 4.76x
User PnL: $2.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 23.9%
Multiplier: 4.19x
User PnL: $2.05

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 82%
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: $1.95

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 76.2%
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $1.53

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 79%
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $1.3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 98.5%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: -$0.38

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
User PnL: -$0.41

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Polymarket update