Polymarket Trader

0x9ce3...84b8

0x9ce3c1acbfe7c119cacdfcd11a10daa9de1a84b8

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $24.53
Realized PnL: $85.81
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets in July 2026?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.46
Potential payout: $925.59
Potential profit: $925.13
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.43

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $785
Potential profit: $785
User PnL: -$2.84

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $472.5
Potential profit: $472.5
User PnL: -$1.89

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$1

Down position

XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.12
Potential payout: $236.25
Potential profit: $236.13
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.77

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $76.84
Potential profit: $76.84
User PnL: -$1.89

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $76.16
Potential profit: $76.16
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will 2026 be the fifth-hottest year on record?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.14
Potential payout: $55.47
Potential profit: $55.34
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$0.86

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 27.5%
Current value: $7.28
Potential payout: $26.48
Potential profit: $19.2
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: -$0.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $12.89
Potential payout: $22.42
Potential profit: $9.53
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: $1.23

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.83
Potential profit: $16.83
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.39
Potential profit: $13.39
User PnL: -$4.82

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $0.75
Potential payout: $11.63
Potential profit: $10.88
Multiplier: 15.50x
User PnL: -$0.25

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.1%
Current value: $2.01
Potential payout: $11.11
Potential profit: $9.11
Multiplier: 5.54x
User PnL: $1.01

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.1%
Current value: $0.64
Potential payout: $10.64
Potential profit: $9.99
Multiplier: 16.53x
User PnL: -$0.36

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.04
Potential profit: $10.04
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.32
Potential profit: $9.32
User PnL: -$1.91

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.3
Potential profit: $8.3
User PnL: -$1.91

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 3.1%
Current value: $0.24
Potential payout: $7.83
Potential profit: $7.59
Multiplier: 32.79x
User PnL: -$1.67

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 38°C on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.08

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.62

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 21°C on March 28?

Ends Mar 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.98

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on June 21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.79

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on March 28?

Ends Mar 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.76

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.7

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.57

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.55

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on March 25?

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.25

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.98

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C on March 24?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.85

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on June 14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.44

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.33

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.23

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 20?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.12

Yes position

Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-18?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.04

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on April 2?

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.96

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on April 10?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.96

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-06-12?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.92

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.88

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on July 2?

Yes 29% 26.48 shares
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 2?

Yes 52% 22.42 shares
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 1?

Yes 98% 18.39 shares
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 1?

Yes 42% 18.4 shares
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 1?

Yes 36% 13.39 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Yes 24.4% 7.83 shares
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 39°C on June 28?

Yes 13.7% 16.51 shares
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 38°C on June 28?

Yes 49% 15.84 shares
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 39°C on June 28?

Yes 35% 16.51 shares
Piracicaba: Maximo Zeitune vs Nicolas Zanellato

Maximo Zeitune 53% 2.58 shares
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Yes 0.8% 236.25 shares
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Yes 0.4% 472.5 shares