Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $293.5
- Potential payout
- $335.43
- Potential profit
- $41.93
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $37.23
Polymarket Trader
TheBronxTale
0x9cea6c9c32a8f4579023e6ffe989e063eef8ffd2
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.96K
- Realized PnL
- $3.23K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of May 18 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $331.42
- Potential profit
- $331.42
- User PnL
- -$228.68
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $307.19
- Potential payout
- $328.72
- Potential profit
- $21.53
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $37.22
No position
Will Haiti advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.2%
- Current value
- $266.42
- Potential payout
- $280
- Potential profit
- $13.58
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $18.82
Y
Yes position
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Current value
- $246.47
- Potential payout
- $265.02
- Potential profit
- $18.55
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $42.03
No position
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $232.89
- Potential profit
- $232.89
- User PnL
- -$179.93
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $228.81
- Potential payout
- $231
- Potential profit
- $2.19
- User PnL
- $67.08
Yes position
Will Oscar Piastri finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $231
- Potential profit
- $231
- User PnL
- -$133.62
No position
Will there be 4 or more ChatGPT outages in June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $39.96
- Potential payout
- $228.36
- Potential profit
- $188.39
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$79.97
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $223.71
- Potential payout
- $225.18
- Potential profit
- $1.46
- User PnL
- $70.26
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 79%
- Current value
- $159
- Potential payout
- $201.26
- Potential profit
- $42.26
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- -$0.18
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Current value
- $97.19
- Potential payout
- $200.38
- Potential profit
- $103.2
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- -$68.42
Under position
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 7.5
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $176.67
- Potential profit
- $176.67
- User PnL
- -$118.8
Down position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 7?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $172.43
- Potential profit
- $172.43
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $168.78
- Potential profit
- $168.78
- User PnL
- -$64.3
Yes position
Will Michael Olise record the most assists in the 2025-26 UEFA Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $160.92
- Potential profit
- $160.92
- User PnL
- -$130.16
No position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $91 on June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $144
- Potential profit
- $144
- User PnL
- -$116.28
No position
Will there be a red flag during the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $139.12
- Potential profit
- $139.12
- User PnL
- -$89.3
No position
Wales vs. Ghana: Both Teams to Score
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $137.69
- Potential profit
- $137.69
- User PnL
- -$99.14
Y
Yes position
US Sassuolo Calcio leading at halftime?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $129.63
- Potential profit
- $129.63
- User PnL
- -$35
Under position
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Valencia CF: O/U 5.5
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $119.59
- Potential profit
- $119.59
- User PnL
- -$60
No position
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $115.8
- Potential profit
- $115.8
- User PnL
- -$34.39
West Ham United FC position
Spread: Newcastle United FC (-1.5)
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $106.67
- Potential profit
- $106.67
- User PnL
- -$80
No position
Will Paraguay win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.2%
- Current value
- $97.15
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $2.85
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $16.15
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $413.86
Yes position
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $411.33
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $352.32
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $180.78
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $173.98
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- User PnL
- $160.85
No position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $105 on May 18?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $142.01
Yes position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $99 on May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $135.5
Yes position
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $128.72
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $119.88
Under position
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $108.33
No position
Will Ferencváros reach the UEFA Europa League quarter-finals?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $105.57
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $99.94
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $90.5
Yes position
Will Turkey qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $87.08
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $82.91
Under position
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 4.5
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.4
Under position
Olympique de Marseille vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 5.5
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.94
No position
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.79
No position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.9
Yes position
AEK vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: Both Teams to Score
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.33
Yes position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $103 on May 19?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.68
Yes position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $102 on May 19?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.52
No position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $97 on June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.47
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of June 2026?Yes 81% 166.26 shares
- Will there be 4 or more ChatGPT outages in June 2026?No 10% 51 shares
- Will there be 4 or more ChatGPT outages in June 2026?No 12% 50 shares
- Will there be 4 or more ChatGPT outages in June 2026?No 13% 20 shares
- Will there be 4 or more ChatGPT outages in June 2026?No 14% 80 shares
- Will there be 4 or more ChatGPT outages in June 2026?No 15% 40 shares
- Will there be 4 or more ChatGPT outages in June 2026?No 15% 87 shares
- Will there be 4 or more ChatGPT outages in June 2026?No 20% 19.6 shares
- Will there be 4 or more ChatGPT outages in June 2026?No 22% 87.5 shares
- Will there be 4 or more ChatGPT outages in June 2026?No 24% 7.5 shares
- Will there be 4 or more ChatGPT outages in June 2026?No 26% 23.6 shares
- Will there be 4 or more ChatGPT outages in June 2026?No 30% 17.97 shares