Polymarket Trader

Sebaschaps

0x9cf8f29b7b584ea13bfc6e23cae33dd8c01b7f09

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $5.33K
Realized PnL: $3.98K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $125
Potential payout: $250K
Potential profit: $249.88K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$195

Yes position

Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $140
Potential payout: $40K
Potential profit: $39.86K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$60

Yes position

Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $75
Potential payout: $30K
Potential profit: $29.93K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.9%
Current value: $1.15K
Potential payout: $30K
Potential profit: $28.84K
Multiplier: 25.97x
User PnL: $785.04

Yes position

Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $137.5
Potential payout: $25K
Potential profit: $24.86K
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$62.5

Yes position

Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $55
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $9.95K
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$39.45

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $125
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $9.88K
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: $15

Yes position

Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $5
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$85

Yes position

Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $65
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $9.94K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$55

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $214
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $9.79K
Multiplier: 46.73x
User PnL: $34

Yes position

Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $55
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $9.95K
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$55

Yes position

Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $87
Potential payout: $6K
Potential profit: $5.91K
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $122.5
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $4.88K
Multiplier: 40.82x
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $71.61
Potential payout: $4.62K
Potential profit: $4.55K
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: -$28.53

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.8%
Current value: $235
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.77K
Multiplier: 8.51x
User PnL: $60

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.9%
Current value: $87.75
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.41K
Multiplier: 17.09x
User PnL: $36.75

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $833.67
Potential payout: $1.06K
Potential profit: $228.33
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $22.31

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 7%
Current value: $55.73
Potential payout: $801.81
Potential profit: $746.08
Multiplier: 14.39x
User PnL: -$25.26

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 29.5%
Current value: $215.34
Potential payout: $729.97
Potential profit: $514.63
Multiplier: 3.39x
User PnL: $18.25

No position

Will New Zealand advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 71%
Current value: $507.14
Potential payout: $714.29
Potential profit: $207.14
Multiplier: 1.41x
User PnL: $7.14

No position

Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 57%
Current value: $407.07
Potential payout: $714.29
Potential profit: $307.21
Multiplier: 1.75x
User PnL: -$92.93

No position

Will Qatar advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $553.8
Potential payout: $632.91
Potential profit: $79.11
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $53.8

Ilia Topuria position

UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $533.33
Potential profit: $533.33
User PnL: -$400

Over position

O/U 2.5 Rounds

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$305

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $563.42

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 69.5%
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: $398.03

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $60K in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $352.44

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 41.5%
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: $321.14

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $221.86

Ryan Spann position

UFC Fight Night: Ryan Spann vs. Marcus Buchecha (Heavyweight, Prelims)

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $218.3

Charles Oliveira position

UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $192

Yes position

Will Inter Milan win the UEFA Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $179.41

Yes position

Will Ukraine finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?

Ends May 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $177

Lewis position

UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira

Ends Jul 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $152

Cody Garbrandt position

UFC 326: Cody Garbrandt vs. Xiao Long (Bantamweight, Prelims)

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $150

Movsar Evloev position

UFC Fight Night: Movsar Evloev vs. Lerone Murphy (Featherweight, Main Card)

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $118.48

Murphy position

UFC 319: Murphy vs. Pico

Ends Aug 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $114.49

Shevchenko position

Shevchenko vs. Fiorot

Ends May 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $110.5

Brando Pericic position

UFC Fight Night: Shamil Gaziev vs. Brando Pericic (Heavyweight, Prelims)

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $98

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in December?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $96.08

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 54.5%
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: $94.57

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70.27

Strickland position

UFC Fight Night: Sean Strickland vs. Anthony Hernandez (Middleweight, Main Card)

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70

Alonzo Menifield position

UFC Fight Night: Alonzo Menifield vs. Zhang Mingyang (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68

Yes position

Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $58.15

Yes position

Will Barcelona win the UEFA Champions League?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $55.7

Du Plessis position

Du Plessis vs. Strickland

Ends Feb 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.87

Onama position

Chikadze vs. Onama

Ends Apr 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.52

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.1% 200,000 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 27% 729.96 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 78% 262 shares
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.5% 20,000 shares
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.8% 25,000 shares
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)

Ilia Topuria 75% 533.33 shares
Fight to Go the Distance?

Yes 36% 23.06 shares
O/U 2.5 Rounds

Over 61% 500 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 90% 510.19 shares
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.2% 3,120 shares
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.2% 30,000 shares
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1% 4,450 shares