Polymarket Trader

0x9D1bc53ca89462d6fAF938230B1700A813A4818A-1767909605691

0x9d1bc53ca89462d6faf938230b1700a813a4818a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $514.5
Realized PnL: $269.01
Win rate: 36.4%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 11
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.8K
Potential profit: $2.8K
User PnL: -$54

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.65K
Potential profit: $2.65K
User PnL: -$53

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $514.5
Potential payout: $2.1K
Potential profit: $1.59K
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: $52.5

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.54K
Potential profit: $1.54K
User PnL: -$90

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.27K
Potential profit: $1.27K
User PnL: -$60

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $845.24
Potential profit: $845.24
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $810.81
Potential profit: $810.81
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $757.14
Potential profit: $757.14
User PnL: -$53

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $666.67
Potential profit: $666.67
User PnL: -$75

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 12, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $643.03
Potential profit: $643.03
User PnL: -$27.95

Yes position

Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 11, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $568.4
Potential profit: $568.4
User PnL: -$35

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $565.95
Potential profit: $565.95
User PnL: -$39

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $540
Potential profit: $540
User PnL: -$81

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $469.38
Potential profit: $469.38
User PnL: -$54.55

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $380
Potential profit: $380
User PnL: -$95

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $327.27
Potential profit: $327.27
User PnL: -$35

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $243.46
Potential profit: $243.46
User PnL: -$66

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 17, 2026?

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $238.1
Potential profit: $238.1
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Iran Strike on Israel by January 31?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $152.09
Potential profit: $152.09
User PnL: -$75

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $138.89
Potential profit: $138.89
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?

Ends Jan 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $121.37
Potential profit: $121.37
User PnL: -$24

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $117.87
Potential profit: $117.87
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $108.22
Potential profit: $108.22
User PnL: -$40.04

Yes position

Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 12, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $62.5
Potential profit: $62.5
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $245.88

Yes position

Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.14

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

US strike on Mexico by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$4.49

No position

Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $5 million?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$7.95

Yes position

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$8

No position

Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $8 million?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10.02

Yes position

US strike on Mexico by March 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$11.67

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$12.43

No position

Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $6 million?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20.45

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Yes 22% 2,100 shares
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?

Yes 99.9% 48.19 shares
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Yes 99.9% 326.2 shares
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Yes 17% 29.41 shares
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?

Yes 11% 45.45 shares
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Yes 17% 88.24 shares
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?

Yes 11% 136.36 shares
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?

Yes 7% 328.57 shares
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?

Yes 11% 318.18 shares
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?

Yes 4.8% 729.07 shares
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?

Yes 20.8% 48.19 shares
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?

Yes 7% 142.86 shares