No position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Current value
- $195.4
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $4.6
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $12.6
Polymarket Trader
nairobi2
0x9d2ec2f611bc4ad8e88bcde611546ece6a796b6a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $468.08
- Realized PnL
- $415.81
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 19
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $196
- Potential profit
- $196
- User PnL
- -$45.08
Yes position
Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $113.64
- Potential profit
- $113.64
- User PnL
- -$50
No position
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $87.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $12.5
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $7.5
Yes position
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 68.5%
- Current value
- $41.1
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $18.9
- Multiplier
- 1.46x
- User PnL
- -$12.9
No position
Mistral AI IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $45.25
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $4.75
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $2.75
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Current value
- $31.75
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $18.25
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- $8.25
Yes position
Will JPMorgan Chase (JPM) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$45.5
No position
Brian Armstrong out as Coinbase CEO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92%
- Current value
- $46
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $4
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $8.5
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$43
No position
Will Franco Parisi come in third in the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$48
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $49.99
- Potential profit
- $49.99
- User PnL
- -$27
Yes position
Will Bruce Harrell win the 2025 Seattle mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $37.24
- Potential profit
- $37.24
- User PnL
- -$21.4
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $30
- User PnL
- -$25.5
No position
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81%
- Current value
- $21.08
- Potential payout
- $26.03
- Potential profit
- $4.95
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- -$0.26
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET
Ends Nov 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$7
150k position
Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$4.8
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
Ends Nov 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$7
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET
Ends Nov 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.88
- Potential profit
- $1.88
- User PnL
- -$1.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.8
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.59
Yes position
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.2
Yes position
Will Jeannette Jara win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.25
Yes position
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.3
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22
Yes position
Will Jeannette Jara and José Antonio Kast advance to the runoff?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.11
No position
Will Johannes Kaiser win the Chilean presidential election?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.55
Yes position
Will the Indian National Congress (INC) win the most seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.82
Yes position
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.5
No position
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.1
No position
Will Solana dip to $90 before 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12
Yes position
Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12
No position
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.4
Yes position
Will Gold close at $3,200 or more at the end of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.78
No position
Another critical Cloudflare incident by January 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.5
Yes position
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.2
Yes position
Will Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9
Yes position
Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9
No position
Will Sabih Khan be the next CEO of Apple?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9
No position
Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.82
No position
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.9
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No 91.4% 200 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 91% 200 shares
- No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes 99.1% 50 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 89% 200 shares
- Will Interactive Brokers (IBKR) beat quarterly earnings?Yes 79% 25.1 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes 23% 196 shares
- Will Delta Air Lines (DAL) beat quarterly earnings?Yes 72% 100 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?No 85% 30 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Yes 89% 10.02 shares
- SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?Yes 75% 50 shares
- Will Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) beat quarterly earnings?Yes 91% 5 shares
- Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?No 82% 26.03 shares