Polymarket Trader

hild

@realhild

0x9d3e4fb265800f911de2026ed4a0ebddce36eec6

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $22.08K
Realized PnL: $151.2K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 23%
Current value: $6.2K
Potential payout: $27K
Potential profit: $20.8K
Multiplier: 4.36x
User PnL: $1.77K

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 20.6%
Current value: $5.55K
Potential payout: $27K
Potential profit: $21.45K
Multiplier: 4.87x
User PnL: $3.07K

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.2%
Current value: $2.9K
Potential payout: $26K
Potential profit: $23.1K
Multiplier: 8.97x
User PnL: -$1.44K

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.3%
Current value: $2.56K
Potential payout: $25K
Potential profit: $22.44K
Multiplier: 9.76x
User PnL: -$187.5

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.8%
Current value: $1.44K
Potential payout: $25K
Potential profit: $23.56K
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: -$662.5

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.8%
Current value: $1.44K
Potential payout: $25K
Potential profit: $23.56K
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: -$1.06K

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $987.5
Potential payout: $25K
Potential profit: $24.01K
Multiplier: 25.32x
User PnL: -$337.5

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.1%
Current value: $1.01K
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $18.99K
Multiplier: 19.80x
User PnL: -$150

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.23K

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.47K

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.38K

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.83K

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.59K

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.27K

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.31K

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7K

No position

Maduro out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.91K

No position

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.65K

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.99K

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.93K

No position

US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.82K

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.48K

Yes position

Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.66K

No position

Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.48K

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.26K

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.96K

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.91K

Makhachev position

UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.82K

Yes position

Will the Party for Freedom win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.61K

No position

Maduro out by November 30, 2025?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.6K

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Knicks

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.52K

Yes position

Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?

Ends Nov 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.51K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 13.8% 999.99 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 15.2% 2,000 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 19% 2,000 shares
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.8% 20,000 shares
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.3% 25,000 shares
Spurs vs. Knicks

Knicks 5% 24,999.98 shares
Spurs vs. Knicks

Knicks 27% 684.76 shares
Spurs vs. Knicks

Knicks 31% 2,500 shares
Spurs vs. Knicks

Knicks 36% 5,000 shares
Spurs vs. Knicks

Knicks 38% 3,198.63 shares
Spurs vs. Knicks

Knicks 41% 2,500 shares
Spurs vs. Knicks

Knicks 42% 15,000 shares