Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8PM ET
Ends Nov 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.52
- Potential profit
- $11.52
- User PnL
- -$7.82
Polymarket Trader
0x9d43...75ac
0x9d434ce39d347e045ed7d4078735751c640375ac
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $80.67
- Realized PnL
- $9.84
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 19
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
UNLV Runnin Rebels position
UT Martin Skyhawks vs. UNLV Runnin' Rebels
Ends Nov 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.45
- Potential profit
- $9.45
- User PnL
- -$9.36
Yes position
Will Keir Starmer say "NHS" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?
Ends Dec 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.91
- Potential profit
- $8.91
- User PnL
- -$8.73
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 8PM ET
Ends Nov 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.84
- Potential profit
- $8.84
- User PnL
- -$8.66
Yes position
Will Trump say "China" during the State of the Union address?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.37
- Potential profit
- $8.37
- User PnL
- -$8.17
Yes position
Will Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 10.2%
- Current value
- $0.85
- Potential payout
- $8.37
- Potential profit
- $7.51
- Multiplier
- 9.81x
- User PnL
- -$7.49
No position
Will Siga Batista win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 97.9%
- Current value
- $8.17
- Potential payout
- $8.35
- Potential profit
- $0.18
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.17
No position
Will João Bernardo Vieira win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Current value
- $8.24
- Potential payout
- $8.35
- Potential profit
- $0.11
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
No position
Will PT win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $8.33
- Potential payout
- $8.35
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will FLING win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $8.3
- Potential payout
- $8.35
- Potential profit
- $0.05
- User PnL
- -$0.04
No position
Will Baciro Djá win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 97.8%
- Current value
- $8.16
- Potential payout
- $8.35
- Potential profit
- $0.18
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.18
No position
Will José Mário Vaz win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $8.28
- Potential payout
- $8.35
- Potential profit
- $0.07
- User PnL
- -$0.06
No position
Will PS win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 94.1%
- Current value
- $7.86
- Potential payout
- $8.35
- Potential profit
- $0.49
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.48
Yes position
Will Nicoletta Romano win the 2026 Casalnuovo Di Napoli mayoral election?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.18
- Potential profit
- $8.18
- User PnL
- -$8.1
No position
Will Giovanni Nappi win the 2026 Casalnuovo Di Napoli mayoral election?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.11
- Potential profit
- $8.11
- User PnL
- -$8.1
No position
Will Gina Viola win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $8.03
- Potential payout
- $8.04
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will National Liberation Front (FLN) win the most seats in the 2026 Algerian parliamentary elections?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $7.35
- Potential payout
- $7.37
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- $0.15
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3AM ET
Ends Nov 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.3
- Potential profit
- $7.3
- User PnL
- -$5.4
No position
Will James Osyf be the Democratic nominee for VA-02?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $7.1
- Potential payout
- $7.12
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.02
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
XRP Up or Down - November 4, 11PM ET
Ends Nov 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.4
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 3AM ET
Ends Nov 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.01
No position
Will Valencia win on 2025-11-01?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.41
No position
Will Fortuna Sittard win on 2025-10-31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.41
Even position
Game 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.41
Yes position
Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?
Ends Dec 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.36
Yes position
Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.35
Yes position
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $310 on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.34
Yes position
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-11-05?
Ends Nov 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.32
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.31
No position
Will Puerto Rico win Miss Universe 2025?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.29
No position
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.29
No position
Will FC Internazionale Milano vs. Qairat FK end in a draw?
Ends Nov 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Will the November 2025 unemployment rate be 4.3%?
Ends Dec 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.27
No position
Will José Antonio Kast win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
Will Jeannette Jara win between 20% and 24% of votes in the first round?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
Yes position
Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
Will Encore Medical’s market cap be greater than $55M at market close on IPO day?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.24
No position
Will Kroger Q1 identical sales without fuel growth be above 2%?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.24
Yes position
Will “Frankenstein” be the top global Netflix movie this week? (November 11 2025)
Ends Nov 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.24
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.23
No position
Will “A House of Dynamite” be the top global Netflix movie this week? (November 11 2025)
Ends Nov 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.23
No position
Will SGP be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will LeBron James sign his next NBA contract on July 4?No 99.7% 7.22 shares
- Will Spencer Pratt concede by July 2?No 99.9% 7.21 shares
- Will National Liberation Front (FLN) win the most seats in the 2026 Algerian parliamentary elections?Yes 97.7% 7.37 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 3, 2026?No 99.4% 7.24 shares
- Iran successfully targets shipping on July 1?No 99.9% 7.21 shares
- Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026?No 99.9% 7.22 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 29?No 97.7% 7.42 shares
- Will Cloud9 New York finish in the top 4 of the CDL Regular Season?No 99.8% 7.19 shares
- Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of June 22 above $270?Yes 99.9% 2.8 shares
- 2026 NBA Draft: Freshman Drafted O/U 21.5Under 99.9% 7.19 shares
- Will General Mills Q4 organic net sales growth be below -3%?No 99.9% 7.19 shares
- Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 22, 2026?No 99.5% 7.18 shares