Polymarket Trader

Chickenleg

0x9d45c0a838d6738d96f8dcef3d204ad42d4f87cf

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $463.4
Realized PnL: $2.87K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $6.38
Potential payout: $1.16K
Potential profit: $1.15K
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$23.61

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $427.64
Potential profit: $427.64
User PnL: -$256.58

Yes position

Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$52

Yes position

Will Meta have a #1 AI model this year?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $199.99
Potential profit: $199.99
User PnL: -$34

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $174.45
Potential payout: $175.95
Potential profit: $1.5
User PnL: $74.45

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $172.42
Potential payout: $172.42
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $74.14

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $166.67
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

China x Japan military clash before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $11.54
Potential payout: $153.85
Potential profit: $142.31
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$8.46

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $151.52
Potential profit: $151.52
User PnL: -$20

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $142.07
Potential profit: $142.07
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $140
Potential profit: $140
User PnL: -$6.56

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $124.57
Potential profit: $124.57
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will I Lied to You - Sinners win Best Original Song at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $120.95
Potential profit: $120.95
User PnL: -$20

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $108.7
Potential profit: $108.7
User PnL: -$25

No position

Will Google (GOOGL) close above $310 end of January?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $105.26
Potential profit: $105.26
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.8%
Current value: $5.75
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $94.25
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: -$14.25

Yes position

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$46

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $99.01
Potential profit: $99.01
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $88.89
Potential payout: $88.89
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $38.89

Yes position

Fed rate cut by March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $86.96
Potential profit: $86.96
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on February 1?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $84.75
Potential profit: $84.75
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 4.8%
Current value: $3.96
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $79.38
Multiplier: 21.05x
User PnL: -$6.04

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $621

Yes position

Bitcoin above $95,000 on January 17?

Ends Jan 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $596.51

Yes position

TikTok removed from App Store by Monday?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $202.13

Yes position

Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $158.14

No position

Will Supreme Court delay the Tiktok ban?

Ends Jan 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $145.82

Yes position

Bitcoin above $94,000 on January 3?

Ends Jan 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $144.37

Yes position

Price of eggs goes up in Trump's first month?

Ends Apr 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $128

Yes position

Will Google have the top AI model on July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $114.29

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $84.34

Yes position

Yoon arrested by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.31

Yes position

Will US annual inflation be 2.9% or greater in December?

Ends Jan 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.3

No position

Bitcoin above $97,000 on January 10?

Ends Jan 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.93

Ultra Prime position

LoL: Oh My God vs Ultra Prime (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.43

Yes position

Will Elon Musk create a new political party in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.97

Yes position

Bitcoin above $103,000 on January 24?

Ends Jan 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44

Yes position

Will egg prices be more than $6.00 in March?

Ends Apr 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.57

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.2

Yes position

10-year Treasury yield >4.5% Friday?

Ends Jun 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.82

White Sox position

Phillies vs. White Sox

Ends Aug 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.41

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9 AM ET

Ends Jun 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.87

Yes position

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.54

Yes position

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.11

Weibo Gaming position

LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Ends Jan 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.56

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs

Vici Gaming 38% 13.16 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET

Up 9% 55.56 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET

Down 22% 22.73 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET

Up 7% 71.43 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET

Down 23% 108.7 shares
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Yes 13% 58.82 shares
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?

Yes 0.4% 31.25 shares
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?

Yes 32% 31.25 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET

Up 3% 166.67 shares
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Yes 59% 45.11 shares
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?

No 0.2% 138.88 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET

Down 5% 100 shares