Polymarket Trader

trofano

0x9d4689f08f3e01e5056763c3970e2b9ac3df5135

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $194.07
Realized PnL: $611.88
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 4
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 11.6%
Current value: $94.67
Potential payout: $819.67
Potential profit: $725
Multiplier: 8.66x
User PnL: -$5.33

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 71%
Current value: $99.4
Potential payout: $140
Potential profit: $40.6
Multiplier: 1.41x
User PnL: -$0

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$0.6

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$0.6

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET

Ends Dec 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $143

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 26, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET

Ends Dec 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $96.12

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 26, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET

Ends Dec 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90.01

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET

Ends Dec 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $82

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 26, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET

Ends Dec 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 23, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET

Ends Dec 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.39

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 23, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET

Ends Dec 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.27

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 26, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET

Ends Dec 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.39

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 23, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET

Ends Dec 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.01

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 23, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET

Ends Dec 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.58

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.4

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 41.5%
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: $6.3

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 26, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET

Ends Dec 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - December 23, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET

Ends Dec 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.34

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.07

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 26, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET

Ends Dec 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 23, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET

Ends Dec 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.4

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.3

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.3

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?

No 71% 140 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?

Yes 40% 90 shares
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 12.2% 819.67 shares
Milan: Gustavo Heide vs Enrico Dalla Valle

Gustavo Heide 84% 200 shares
Milan: Gustavo Heide vs Enrico Dalla Valle

Gustavo Heide 88% 100 shares
Milan: Gustavo Heide vs Enrico Dalla Valle

Gustavo Heide 85% 80 shares
Milan: Gustavo Heide vs Enrico Dalla Valle

Gustavo Heide 86% 40 shares
Milan: Gustavo Heide vs Enrico Dalla Valle

Gustavo Heide 84% 20 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET

Up 26% 10 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET

Down 60% 10 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET

Down 61% 10 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET

Up 99% 30 shares