No position
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $323.35
- Potential payout
- $323.51
- Potential profit
- $0.16
- User PnL
- $0.16
Polymarket Trader
GAMBLINGADDICTION
0x9d56d7712fc3699e757764ce2161e8e214e3e272
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $848.57
- Realized PnL
- $815.81
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Another critical Cloudflare incident by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $266.63
- Potential profit
- $266.63
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 21%
- Current value
- $42.88
- Potential payout
- $204.68
- Potential profit
- $161.8
- Multiplier
- 4.77x
- User PnL
- $7.88
No position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $198.97
- Potential profit
- $198.97
- User PnL
- -$157.85
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $190.67
- Potential payout
- $192.31
- Potential profit
- $1.63
- User PnL
- $5.67
No position
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $192.05
- Potential profit
- $192.05
- User PnL
- -$19.86
No position
TikTok sale announced in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $154.38
- Potential profit
- $154.38
- User PnL
- -$85.6
Yes position
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $135.14
- Potential profit
- $135.14
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $134.62
- Potential profit
- $134.62
- User PnL
- -$35
Yes position
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game MVP?
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $115
- Potential profit
- $115
- User PnL
- -$20.7
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $95.54
- Potential payout
- $96.46
- Potential profit
- $0.92
- User PnL
- $16.54
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $89.02
- Potential profit
- $89.02
- User PnL
- -$83
No position
Will Trump visit China by June 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $88.24
- Potential profit
- $88.24
- User PnL
- -$15
No position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $87.34
- Potential profit
- $87.34
- User PnL
- -$69
Yes position
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $85.37
- Potential profit
- $85.37
- User PnL
- -$35
Yes position
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 67.5%
- Current value
- $55.31
- Potential payout
- $81.94
- Potential profit
- $26.63
- Multiplier
- 1.48x
- User PnL
- -$3.69
Yes position
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $81.3
- Potential profit
- $81.3
- User PnL
- -$25
No position
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $79.76
- Potential payout
- $79.88
- Potential profit
- $0.12
- User PnL
- $0.76
No position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $73.2
- Potential profit
- $73.2
- User PnL
- -$71
No position
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $65.22
- Potential profit
- $65.22
- User PnL
- -$15
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $61.05
- Potential payout
- $61.33
- Potential profit
- $0.28
- User PnL
- $2.05
Yes position
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $58.23
- Potential profit
- $58.23
- User PnL
- -$46
Yes position
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $57.8
- Potential profit
- $57.8
- User PnL
- -$19.6
Over position
Liverpool FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $41.06
- Potential profit
- $41.06
- User PnL
- -$28.33
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Trump visit China by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $106.8
Yes position
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $87.76
No position
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?
Ends Nov 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.43
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.85
Yes position
Will Claude 5 be released by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.52
Yes position
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.87
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.82
Yes position
Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.01
No position
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.04
Yes position
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.77
No position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.03
No position
Meteora FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.5
No position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?
Ends Nov 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.96
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.49
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.2
Yes position
Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.2
No position
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?
Ends Dec 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.14
Yes position
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.59
No position
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.57
Yes position
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.2
No position
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.74
Yes position
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.38
No position
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.67
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.25
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 96.2% 192.31 shares
- Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?No 99.9% 323.51 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in June?No 87% 33.33 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in June?No 96.2% 61.33 shares
- Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 72% 81.94 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?No 90% 76.67 shares
- Will Claude 5 be released by September 30, 2026?Yes 63% 109.52 shares
- Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?No 98.9% 79.88 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 81.9% 96.46 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 17.1% 204.68 shares
- Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?Yes 41% 85.37 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 96.6% 82.82 shares