No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.64K
- Potential profit
- $5.64K
- User PnL
- -$492.04
Polymarket Trader
AccruingBadKarma
0x9d59be4789f094416bddadb2bd527b76e9d46bb3
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $452.98
- Realized PnL
- $1.18K
- Win rate
- 72.2%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 18
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.13K
- Potential profit
- $1.13K
- User PnL
- -$349.53
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $334
- Potential profit
- $334
- User PnL
- -$100.2
Yes position
Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 74%
- Current value
- $242.08
- Potential payout
- $327.14
- Potential profit
- $85.06
- Multiplier
- 1.35x
- User PnL
- -$16.29
No position
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $210.9
- Potential payout
- $228
- Potential profit
- $17.1
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $10.26
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $355.26
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $303.74
Yes position
Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $279.99
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $196.62
No position
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $175.7
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $168
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $131.2
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $93.7
Yes position
U.S. x Iran Military Engagement by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $89.7
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $83.2
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.23
Yes position
Will there be at least 1,000 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.33
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.08
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$33
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$48
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100.06
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$332.71
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$352.27
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?Yes 16% 117.55 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?No 1.8% 5,000 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?Yes 68% 404.75 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?No 99.8% 400 shares
- US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes 61% 29.9 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?Yes 42% 46 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?Yes 45% 340 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?No 79% 336.75 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?No 80.3% 125.35 shares
- Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?Yes 25% 393.58 shares
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes 23% 359 shares
- U.S. x Iran Military Engagement by March 31, 2026?Yes 61% 230 shares