Polymarket Trader

Alganda

0x9d5cd1913a02035ee217d35b6dfad8f4ffbc46c3

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $709.46
Realized PnL: $274.02
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 6
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.33K
Potential profit: $3.33K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.33K
Potential profit: $3.33K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $833.33
Potential profit: $833.33
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $625
Potential profit: $625
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $50
Potential payout: $526.32
Potential profit: $476.32
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$50

No position

James Comey arrested by April 29?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $450.74
Potential profit: $450.74
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $47.41
Potential payout: $379.31
Potential profit: $331.9
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$62.59

Yes position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 3.4%
Current value: $12.41
Potential payout: $370.37
Potential profit: $357.96
Multiplier: 29.85x
User PnL: -$87.59

No position

Will Iran Play in the World Cup?

Ends Aug 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $334.67
Potential profit: $334.67
User PnL: -$45.13

Yes position

Will Trump praise Allah again by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $260
Potential profit: $260
User PnL: -$48

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.7%
Current value: $34.79
Potential payout: $254.84
Potential profit: $220.06
Multiplier: 7.33x
User PnL: -$5.22

Yes position

Cuban regime falls in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 18%
Current value: $40.91
Potential payout: $227.27
Potential profit: $186.36
Multiplier: 5.56x
User PnL: -$9.09

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 23.3%
Current value: $42.43
Potential payout: $182.48
Potential profit: $140.05
Multiplier: 4.30x
User PnL: -$7.57

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 49.5%
Current value: $85.34
Potential payout: $172.41
Potential profit: $87.07
Multiplier: 2.02x
User PnL: -$14.66

No position

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 72.5%
Current value: $111.54
Potential payout: $153.85
Potential profit: $42.31
Multiplier: 1.38x
User PnL: $11.54

Yes position

Will Ghana win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $9.29
Potential payout: $142.86
Potential profit: $133.57
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$0.71

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $141.99
Potential profit: $141.99
User PnL: -$117.85

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 77.5%
Current value: $103.33
Potential payout: $133.33
Potential profit: $30
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: $3.33

Yes position

Weed rescheduled by December 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 31%
Current value: $35.92
Potential payout: $115.88
Potential profit: $79.96
Multiplier: 3.23x
User PnL: -$14.08

Yes position

Will Senegal win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 30.5%
Current value: $29.52
Potential payout: $96.77
Potential profit: $67.26
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: -$0.48

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 22.3%
Current value: $20.51
Potential payout: $92.17
Potential profit: $71.66
Multiplier: 4.49x
User PnL: $0.51

Yes position

Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $9.58
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $73.75
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$0.42

Yes position

Will Netherlands vs. Sweden end in a draw?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $83.33
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Starmer out by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.9%
Current value: $76.48
Potential payout: $78.13
Potential profit: $1.64
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $26.48

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90

No position

Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $81.82

No position

Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.07

Yes position

Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.5

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20

No position

Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.63

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Netherlands vs. Sweden end in a draw?

Yes 24% 83.33 shares
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-27?

Yes 29% 53.45 shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 75% 133.33 shares
Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?

Yes 10% 100 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 58% 172.41 shares
Will Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw?

Yes 32% 62.5 shares
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?

Yes 65% 76.92 shares
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?

Yes 60% 20 shares
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-24?

Yes 14% 71.43 shares
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-23?

Yes 7% 142.86 shares
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-22?

Yes 16% 62.5 shares
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-22?

Yes 31% 96.77 shares