Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $0.24
- Potential payout
- $26.95
- Potential profit
- $26.71
- Multiplier
- 111.11x
- User PnL
- -$10.81
Polymarket Trader
timothydavenport
0x9d682ed54e560cfe14281cf3ab4e86ebc7e65fde
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0.24
- Realized PnL
- $151.69
- Win rate
- 79.2%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.41
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.88
No position
Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.25
Under position
Leeds United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.89
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.51
Over position
Aston Villa FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.84
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.82
No position
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.53
No position
Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Ends Oct 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.32
No position
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.52
No position
Maduro out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.16
No position
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.57
Yes position
Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.02
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $100,000 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.87
No position
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.03
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.24
Yes position
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on August 14?
Ends Aug 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will Tommy Fleetwood win the 2025 FedEx St. Jude Championship?
Ends Aug 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Yes position
Will Shigeru Ishiba be the first leader out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.08
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes 41% 26.95 shares
- Brazil vs. France: O/U 2.5Under 44% 20.36 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?No 61.3% 25.76 shares
- Stade Brestois 29 vs. Le Havre AC: O/U 2.5Over 44% 30.3 shares
- Villarreal CF vs. Elche CF: O/U 2.5Under 40% 16.43 shares
- Aston Villa FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5Over 57% 22.88 shares
- Leeds United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5Under 48% 36.33 shares
- Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)Club Brugge KV 55% 25.35 shares
- Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?No 45% 36.82 shares
- Delray Beach Open: Nuno Borges vs Coleman WongBorges 56% 24.61 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes 56% 2.36 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes 46% 2.37 shares