Yes position
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?
Ends Oct 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.04K
- Potential profit
- $1.04K
- User PnL
- -$199.81
Polymarket Trader
Abse
0x9da2bdc3f50bddb9de4a1d6345ad2cb91ecf1f2f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $17.68
- Realized PnL
- $1.3K
- Win rate
- 83.3%
- Open positions
- 20
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $427.77
- Potential profit
- $427.77
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $400
- User PnL
- -$200
No position
Israel military action against Iran before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $340.91
- Potential profit
- $340.91
- User PnL
- -$150
Yes position
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $333.33
- Potential profit
- $333.33
- User PnL
- -$100
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $333.26
- Potential profit
- $333.26
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Pope Leo visit the U.S. first?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $321.13
- Potential profit
- $321.13
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-04?
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $256.41
- Potential profit
- $256.41
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $240
- Potential profit
- $240
- User PnL
- -$60
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $230.85
- Potential profit
- $230.85
- User PnL
- -$39.8
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $220.7
- Potential profit
- $220.7
- User PnL
- -$98.47
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $192.26
- Potential profit
- $192.26
- User PnL
- -$35.5
Y
Yes position
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $0.70T and $0.80T on July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.3%
- Current value
- $7.21
- Potential payout
- $166.08
- Potential profit
- $158.88
- Multiplier
- 23.04x
- User PnL
- $2.21
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $158.35
- Potential profit
- $158.35
- User PnL
- -$49.42
Y
Yes position
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $0.80T and $0.90T on July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.9%
- Current value
- $10.47
- Potential payout
- $152.9
- Potential profit
- $142.43
- Multiplier
- 14.60x
- User PnL
- $2.47
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $149.77
- Potential profit
- $149.77
- User PnL
- -$49.39
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $133.21
- Potential profit
- $133.21
- User PnL
- -$52.16
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $75.82
- Potential profit
- $75.82
- User PnL
- -$39.38
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $70.34
- Potential profit
- $70.34
- User PnL
- -$39.39
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $56.9
- Potential profit
- $56.9
- User PnL
- -$29.53
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Diddy found guilty of sex trafficking?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $243.61
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $138.39
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $114.29
No position
Israel parliament dissolved in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $108.94
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $104.08
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $103.8
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $82.04
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.4
Yes position
Will Sung Jinwoo win Crunchyroll's Best Main Character Award for 2025?
Ends May 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.43
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.35
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $56.47
No position
50% tariff goes into effect on EU by June 1?
Ends Jun 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.77
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.6
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.81
No position
Iran/Hezbollah strike on Cyprus by March 7?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.58
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.49
No position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.44
Yes position
Pacers win and Haliburton scores 21+ points?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16
Yes position
Will Elon tweet 230 or more times May 30–June 6?
Ends Jun 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.09
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30-35m views on day 1?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$8
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$12.07
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 20-25m views on day 1?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$40
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25-30m views on day 1?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$40
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $0.80T and $0.90T on July 31?Yes 5.2% 152.9 shares
- Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $0.70T and $0.80T on July 31?Yes 3% 166.08 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 6:25AM-6:30AM ETDown 31.2% 156.51 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 6:20AM-6:25AM ETUp 17.2% 229.67 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 10:40PM-10:45PM ETDown 99% 182.32 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 10:40PM-10:45PM ETDown 54% 179.47 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 10:40PM-10:45PM ETUp 57% 272.16 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 10:40PM-10:45PM ETUp 36.3% 268.48 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 10:30PM-10:35PM ETUp 61% 178.54 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 10:30PM-10:35PM ETUp 27.7% 176.74 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 10:25PM-10:30PM ETUp 41.6% 207.4 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 10:25PM-10:30PM ETUp 47.5% 204.13 shares