Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.8%
- Current value
- $796.57
- Potential payout
- $13.85K
- Potential profit
- $13.06K
- Multiplier
- 17.39x
- User PnL
- -$703.41
Polymarket Trader
mazdaahura
0x9da44ef602f0324ba331a6241d8d36dd15377403
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.61K
- Realized PnL
- $1.55K
- Win rate
- 62.5%
- Open positions
- 12
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $420.26
- Potential payout
- $5.6K
- Potential profit
- $5.18K
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$580.53
Yes position
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.02K
- Potential profit
- $1.02K
- User PnL
- -$300
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.4%
- Current value
- $47.77
- Potential payout
- $892.86
- Potential profit
- $845.09
- Multiplier
- 18.69x
- User PnL
- -$2.23
Yes position
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $892.86
- Potential profit
- $892.86
- User PnL
- -$250
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 23%
- Current value
- $120.79
- Potential payout
- $526.32
- Potential profit
- $405.53
- Multiplier
- 4.36x
- User PnL
- $20.79
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.3%
- Current value
- $50.25
- Potential payout
- $490.2
- Potential profit
- $439.95
- Multiplier
- 9.76x
- User PnL
- $0.25
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.3%
- Current value
- $66.61
- Potential payout
- $328.95
- Potential profit
- $262.34
- Multiplier
- 4.94x
- User PnL
- $16.61
Yes position
Will Israel strike 3 countries in April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $232.13
- Potential profit
- $232.13
- User PnL
- -$100.86
Yes position
Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $217.87
- Potential profit
- $217.87
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $154
- Potential profit
- $154
- User PnL
- -$98.56
Yes position
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $112.34
- Potential payout
- $129.87
- Potential profit
- $17.53
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $12.34
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Iran strike Ruwais Refinery by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $713.69
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by February 28?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $491.55
Yes position
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $450.08
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $249.14
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $225
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $194.12
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $168.84
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $159.12
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $150
Yes position
Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $109.49
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $81.82
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $79.45
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $76
Yes position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.51
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.56
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$57.14
Yes position
Will Russia capture Lyman by March 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$80.36
Yes position
Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$132.32
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$157.52
Yes position
US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$200
Yes position
Will Iran strike Al Zour Refinery by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$202.5
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$258.76
Yes position
Will Russia capture Rodynske by February 28?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$291.55
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$307.02
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 15.2% 328.95 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 19% 526.32 shares
- Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 10.2% 490.2 shares
- Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 5.6% 892.86 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 12% 354.01 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?Yes 86% 231.26 shares
- Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?Yes 44.9% 445.5 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?Yes 64% 154 shares
- Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in April 2026?Yes 45.9% 217.87 shares
- Will Israel strike 3 countries in April 2026?Yes 43.8% 182.47 shares
- Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?Yes 28% 357.14 shares
- Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?Yes 17.3% 577.94 shares