Zgzwng

Implied probability: 3.7%
Current value: $69.75
Potential payout: $1.91K
Potential profit: $1.84K
Multiplier: 27.40x
User PnL: -$46.25

Yes position

Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $9.35
Potential payout: $984.62
Potential profit: $975.26
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$1.65

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?

Ends Sep 16, 2026

Implied probability: 4.3%
Current value: $31.31
Potential payout: $736.8
Potential profit: $705.48
Multiplier: 23.53x
User PnL: -$43.89

Yes position

Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $6.95
Potential payout: $732.07
Potential profit: $725.11
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$62.85

Yes position

Cuban regime falls in 2026?

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $114.33
Potential payout: $692.92
Potential profit: $578.58
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$85.61

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $640.05
Potential profit: $640.05
User PnL: -$44.56

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.94
Potential payout: $627.79
Potential profit: $626.85
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$195.06

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $1.86
Potential payout: $618.71
Potential profit: $616.85
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: -$128.64

Yes position

Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $416.67
Potential profit: $416.67
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.97
Potential payout: $276.13
Potential profit: $275.16
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$14.03

Yes position

Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Implied probability: 4.7%
Current value: $12.83
Potential payout: $272.92
Potential profit: $260.09
Multiplier: 21.28x
User PnL: -$21.92

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $13.63
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $236.38
Multiplier: 18.35x
User PnL: -$18.88

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 5.7%
Current value: $9.95
Potential payout: $176.19
Potential profit: $166.24
Multiplier: 17.70x
User PnL: -$4.85

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $16.6
Potential payout: $174.69
Potential profit: $158.1
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$46.79

Yes position

Will Nigel Farage be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.46
Potential payout: $132.58
Potential profit: $132.11
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$1.32

Yes position

Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 4.7%
Current value: $5.89
Potential payout: $125.25
Potential profit: $119.36
Multiplier: 21.28x
User PnL: $0.88

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 21.8%
Current value: $21.75
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $78.25
Multiplier: 4.60x
User PnL: $9.75

Yes position

Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $1.04
Potential payout: $90.08
Potential profit: $89.04
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: -$32.27

Yes position

Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $6.25
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $77.08
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$8.75

Yes position

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $5.63
Potential payout: $75
Potential profit: $69.38
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$8.63

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.33
Potential payout: $73.64
Potential profit: $73.31
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$1.29

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?

Implied probability: 2.2%
Current value: $1.22
Potential payout: $55.56
Potential profit: $54.33
Multiplier: 45.45x
User PnL: -$3.78

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?

Implied probability: 4.1%
Current value: $1.86
Potential payout: $45.45
Potential profit: $43.59
Multiplier: 24.39x
User PnL: -$8.14

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Djokovic position

Australian Open Men's: Novak Djokovic vs Jannik Sinner

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $229.1

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $171.63

Yes position

Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72.96

Yes position

Will Turkey qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67.72

Sean Strickland position

UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67.61

Yes position

Will the fight end in Round 6?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.57

Yes position

Will Powell say "Kevin" or "Warsh" during April press conference?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.68

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.67

Yes position

Starmer out by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.79

Charles Oliveira position

UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.5

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.78

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.27

Yes position

Will Powell say "Successor" during March press conference?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.21

Yes position

Will Warsh say "Open-Minded" during June Press Conference?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.75

Yes position

Will Powell say "Recession" during March press conference?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.32

Yes position

Will Powell say "Speculate" or "Speculation" during March press conference?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.78

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$0.98

Yes position

Will Jake Paul win in Round 8?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Jake Paul win in Round 7?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Senegal position

Spread: Senegal (-1.5)

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.55

Yes position

Will Sean Strickland win by KO or TKO?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.81

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?