Polymarket Trader

EpsteinShowedMeHisSchlongItFeltLikeHeaven

0x9db3ff59e5c13760a444a2fec13a35a23af21d38

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $802.65
Realized PnL: $539.69
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Darren Jones be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $2
Potential payout: $799.99
Potential profit: $797.99
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$1.2

Yes position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $6.1
Potential payout: $243.91
Potential profit: $237.82
Multiplier: 40.00x
User PnL: -$92.4

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.5%
Current value: $211.38
Potential payout: $214.6
Potential profit: $3.22
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.59

Yes position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $9.91
Potential payout: $116.55
Potential profit: $106.64
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$15.09

No position

Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $15B by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 97.5%
Current value: $108.45
Potential payout: $111.23
Potential profit: $2.78
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $3.47

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 23.3%
Current value: $24.18
Potential payout: $103.98
Potential profit: $79.8
Multiplier: 4.30x
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?

Ends Dec 9, 2026

Implied probability: 24.1%
Current value: $25
Potential payout: $103.95
Potential profit: $78.95
Multiplier: 4.16x
User PnL: $0.38

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 21, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.18
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $59.82
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: -$15.54

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Keir Starmer by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $52.37
Potential payout: $56.62
Potential profit: $4.25
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $9.15

No position

Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $49.54
Potential payout: $55.35
Potential profit: $5.81
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $2.16

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Friedrich Merz by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $47.46
Potential payout: $50.22
Potential profit: $2.76
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $2.85

Yes position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $2.25
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $47.75
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$0.25

No position

Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 93.7%
Current value: $37.49
Potential payout: $40.03
Potential profit: $2.54
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $0.74

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 81%
Current value: $32.39
Potential payout: $39.99
Potential profit: $7.6
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $2.55

No position

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $690 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 97.4%
Current value: $29.5
Potential payout: $30.3
Potential profit: $0.8
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0.2

No position

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $680 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 96.5%
Current value: $29
Potential payout: $30.05
Potential profit: $1.05
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $0.36

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 5.6%
Current value: $1.67
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $28.34
Multiplier: 18.02x
User PnL: -$4.04

No position

Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $17.5B by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $29.78
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $0.23
User PnL: $0.56

No position

Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $315 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 97.1%
Current value: $24.55
Potential payout: $25.28
Potential profit: $0.73
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: -$0.38

No position

Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 91%
Current value: $20.2
Potential payout: $22.2
Potential profit: $2
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $3.11

No position

Will ECDSA.fail get at least 50% ahead of Google’s classified circuit by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 71%
Current value: $14.2
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $5.8
Multiplier: 1.41x
User PnL: -$3.8

No position

Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $480 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 98%
Current value: $19.59
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $0.41
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $1.02

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Zohran Mamdani by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $13.63
Potential payout: $15.06
Potential profit: $1.43
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $0.23

No position

Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $150B by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $11.86
Potential payout: $12
Potential profit: $0.14
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $0.15

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $152.23

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $89.39

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $71.64

Yes position

Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69

Yes position

Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.42

No position

Another GTA VI trailer released by June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 55%
Multiplier: 1.82x
User PnL: $23.66

No position

Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $19.36

Yes position

US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.48

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.12

No position

Starmer out by June 22, 2026?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.31

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.28

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.21

Yes position

Another GTA VI trailer released by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 48.5%
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: $5.46

No position

Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 90%
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $3.57

Alexis Galarneau position

Stuttgart Open, Qualification: Yu-Hsiou Hsu vs Alexis Galarneau

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.5

Alina Charaeva position

HSBC Championships, Qualification: Talia Gibson vs Alina Charaeva

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.1

Yes position

Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.99

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down on May 30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.25

No position

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 79.5%
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $2.01

Yes position

Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.95

No position

Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.95

Yes position

Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of June 1 above $30?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.9

No position

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on June 3?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.53

No position

Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.39

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Another GTA VI trailer released by June 30?

Yes 48% 62.24 shares
Another GTA VI trailer released by June 30?

Yes 50% 7.23 shares
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?

No 62% 11.21 shares
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 23.3% 103.98 shares
Will ECDSA.fail get at least 50% ahead of Google’s classified circuit by June 30, 2026?

No 90% 20 shares
Will OpenAI GPT score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

No 92% 5 shares
Will OpenAI GPT score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

No 89% 5 shares
Another GTA VI trailer released by June 30?

Yes 40% 6.91 shares
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $680 in June?

No 95.3% 30.05 shares
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Yes 97.7% 20 shares
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Yes 97.7% 102.6 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 21, 2026?

No 62% 20 shares