No position
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.3%
- Current value
- $1.29K
- Potential payout
- $1.35K
- Potential profit
- $64.13
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $177.41
Polymarket Trader
KissingGolden
0x9dcb14bbc7e9c465dea6363fd3bd4b08c857628b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.58K
- Realized PnL
- -$945.74
- Win rate
- 45.5%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 11
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $107.87
- Potential payout
- $799.07
- Potential profit
- $691.2
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$188.07
No position
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.6%
- Current value
- $748.38
- Potential payout
- $775.12
- Potential profit
- $26.74
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $161.99
No position
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.7%
- Current value
- $41.97
- Potential payout
- $742.84
- Potential profit
- $700.87
- Multiplier
- 17.70x
- User PnL
- -$24.89
Yes position
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen by April 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $511
- Potential profit
- $511
- User PnL
- -$66.43
No position
Will the U.S. lift direct Iran OFAC sanctions by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$160
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $399
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $1
- User PnL
- $175
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Pam Bondi leave the Trump administration before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $92.25
Yes position
Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84.7
No position
Military action against Iran ends by March 24, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.89
No position
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $13.5
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.34
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$52.83
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$107.51
Yes position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$316.84
No position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$321.5
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$402.07
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 13% 771 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 29% 1,500 shares
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?Yes 7% 1,990.64 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?No 2.5% 1,132.58 shares
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?Yes 34% 210.11 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 57% 1,000 shares
- Will Pam Bondi leave the Trump administration before 2027?Yes 97.1% 200 shares
- Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen by April 30?Yes 13% 511 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes 29.8% 606.99 shares
- China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No 77% 675 shares
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?Yes 24% 2,200.75 shares
- Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?No 1.9% 2,022.63 shares