Polymarket Trader

magnus773

0x9dd161edd857cfdd2465a27968dcf339ddef1798

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $842.71
Realized PnL: $1.39K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 23
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.4%
Current value: $817.6
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $3.18K
Multiplier: 4.89x
User PnL: -$118.4

Yes position

Will Sadegh Larijani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $3.38
Potential payout: $1.35K
Potential profit: $1.35K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$49.94

Yes position

Will Cameron Norrie win Wimbledon 2025?

Ends Jul 13, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $1.2K
User PnL: -$4.8

Yes position

Will Ali Asghar Hejazi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $2.92
Potential payout: $1.17K
Potential profit: $1.17K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$4.15

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $542.84
Potential profit: $542.84
User PnL: -$371.85

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $199.97
Potential profit: $199.97
User PnL: -$69.99

No position

Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150.5
Potential profit: $150.5
User PnL: -$105.35

Yes position

Will Trump’s approval rating be between 41.5 and 41.9 on March 20, 2026?

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$9

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $99.98
Potential profit: $99.98
User PnL: -$50.99

Yes position

Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?

Ends Dec 9, 2026

Implied probability: 20.8%
Current value: $17.85
Potential payout: $85.82
Potential profit: $67.97
Multiplier: 4.81x
User PnL: $11.84

Yes position

Will Alireza Firouzja win the 2025 Chess Esports World Cup?

Ends Aug 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.23
Potential profit: $19.23
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.15
Potential profit: $15.15
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Trump’s approval rating be between 41.0 and 41.4 on March 20, 2026?

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$1.8

Yes position

Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-01-07?

Ends Jan 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.69
Potential profit: $7.69
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-08?

Ends Jan 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.88
Potential profit: $5.88
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2025-11-30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.76
Potential profit: $4.76
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Union Berlin vs. 1. FC Heidenheim end in a draw?

Ends Nov 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.17
Potential profit: $4.17
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Bayer Leverkusen vs. Borussia Dortmund end in a draw?

Ends Nov 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.85
Potential profit: $3.85
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will SC Freiburg vs. FSV Mainz 05 end in a draw?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.45
Potential profit: $3.45
User PnL: -$1

Canadiens position

Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs

Ends Oct 8, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.44
Potential profit: $2.44
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2025-11-30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.27
Potential profit: $2.27
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will RB Leipzig win on 2025-11-28?

Ends Nov 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.22
Potential profit: $2.22
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the United Hearts Movement win the most seats in the 2025 Central African Republic National Assembly election?

Ends Dec 28, 2025

Implied probability: 95.3%
Current value: $0.97
Potential payout: $1.02
Potential profit: $0.05
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: -$0.03

Resolved Context

Closed positions

PSG position

FIFA Club World Cup: PSG vs. Bayern (To Advance)

Ends Jul 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $380

Yes position

Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2025 NBA Finals?

Ends Jun 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $278

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 82.6%
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $102.82

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $100

No position

Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $74.87

Yes position

Will Real Madrid win the FIFA Club World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $66.9

Yes position

Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2.8%
Multiplier: 36.36x
User PnL: $54.71

Yes position

Will the Indiana Pacers win the Eastern Conference?

Ends Jun 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.75

Yes position

Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $37

Yes position

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $34

Yes position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $30.45

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.95

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 32.8%
Multiplier: 3.05x
User PnL: $16

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in December?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.8

Under position

Big Game: National Anthem O/U 119.5 seconds

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.74

No position

Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.8%
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $13

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $11.42

Yes position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10

No position

Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10

Yes position

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10

No position

Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.47

Yes position

Trump out as President by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $9.2

Yes position

Will Aston Villa vs. Brighton end in a draw?

Ends Dec 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.54

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $35 by end of June?

Yes 2.7% 32.31 shares
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $45 by end of June?

Yes 6.6% 30.3 shares
Will Sadegh Larijani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Yes 1.3% 193.32 shares
Will Trump say "Obliterated" or "Obliteration" during Address to the Nation?

Yes 82% 16.14 shares
Will Trump say "Hormuz" during Address to the Nation?

Yes 80.2% 44.49 shares
Trump out as President by April 30?

Yes 1.3% 2,300 shares
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?

Yes 7% 85.82 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 10.9% 8,000 shares
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?

Yes 8% 300 shares
Will Sadegh Larijani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Yes 4.4% 701.89 shares
US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Yes 15% 300 shares
Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?

Yes 36% 2.12 shares