Polymarket Trader

78910

0x9ddebe8e694d3d8176f14f755d802ae26aead725

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.5K
Realized PnL: $3.13K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.7%
Current value: $477.75
Potential payout: $3.5K
Potential profit: $3.02K
Multiplier: 7.33x
User PnL: -$5.75

Yes position

Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $13.5
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $2.99K
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$4.5

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 7.4%
Current value: $198.45
Potential payout: $2.7K
Potential profit: $2.5K
Multiplier: 13.61x
User PnL: -$0.35

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $61.25
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.44K
Multiplier: 40.82x
User PnL: $1.25

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.2%
Current value: $98.4
Potential payout: $1.6K
Potential profit: $1.5K
Multiplier: 16.26x
User PnL: -$29.3

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.8%
Current value: $141.07
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $1.06K
Multiplier: 8.51x
User PnL: $38.72

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.6%
Current value: $125.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $874.5
Multiplier: 7.97x
User PnL: $17.2

Yes position

Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2.9%
Current value: $28.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $971.5
Multiplier: 35.09x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $3.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $996.5
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$1.5

Yes position

Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.3%
Current value: $53
Potential payout: $999.97
Potential profit: $946.97
Multiplier: 18.87x
User PnL: -$37

Yes position

Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $947.88
Potential profit: $947.88
User PnL: -$33.48

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $600
User PnL: -$30

No position

Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 26.1%
Current value: $145.36
Potential payout: $558
Potential profit: $412.64
Multiplier: 3.84x
User PnL: -$72.45

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.1%
Current value: $540.87
Potential payout: $546.06
Potential profit: $5.19
User PnL: $307.97

Yes position

Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $2.25
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $497.75
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$0.25

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.2%
Current value: $30.75
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $469.25
Multiplier: 16.26x
User PnL: $3.65

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 47.5%
Current value: $183.16
Potential payout: $385.6
Potential profit: $202.44
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: $28.14

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $27.88
Potential payout: $293.49
Potential profit: $265.61
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$31.12

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $9.88
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $240.13
Multiplier: 25.32x
User PnL: $1.38

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $227.74
Potential payout: $241
Potential profit: $13.26
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $97.6

Yes position

Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $48.38
Potential payout: $236
Potential profit: $187.62
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: -$36.58

Yes position

Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $30.65
Potential payout: $197.75
Potential profit: $167.1
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$28.65

Yes position

Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 10%
Current value: $18.5
Potential payout: $185.01
Potential profit: $166.51
Multiplier: 10.00x
User PnL: $1.85

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 25.2%
Current value: $32.96
Potential payout: $131.04
Potential profit: $98.09
Multiplier: 3.98x
User PnL: $30.6

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $979.07

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $544.95

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $282.41

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $271.97

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $186.57

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $185.53

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $134.61

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 3?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $117.36

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $102.18

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69.72

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $57.75

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.9

No position

Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $26.9

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $24.45

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.9

Down position

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 13?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $20.39

No position

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,900 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
User PnL: $18.92

No position

Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $9.7

No position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.45

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.17

No position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.2

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 5%
Multiplier: 20.20x
User PnL: $6

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.3

No position

Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.05

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

No 54% 241 shares
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 2.9% 1,000 shares
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Yes 0.5% 500 shares
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Yes 0.7% 115 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 18.5% 100 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 7.4% 1,000 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 13.7% 1,500 shares
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.6% 3,000 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 11.7% 288 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 7.4% 500 shares
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.7% 1,000 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 7.4% 1,000 shares