Yes position
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.7%
- Current value
- $365.82
- Potential payout
- $453.59
- Potential profit
- $87.77
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $332.71
Polymarket Trader
0x108
0x9de65f8ad2a6a8619991084d7ecaeb0cab89d884
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $832.22
- Realized PnL
- $3.75K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $304.17
- Potential payout
- $321.88
- Potential profit
- $17.7
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $24.22
No position
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $141.24
- Potential payout
- $156.07
- Potential profit
- $14.83
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $74.13
Yes position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $87.18
- Potential profit
- $87.18
- User PnL
- -$58.41
Yes position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $38.29
- Potential profit
- $38.29
- User PnL
- -$10.34
No position
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $20.99
- Potential payout
- $20.99
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $6.51
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.47K
No position
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $295.5
Yes position
Will the government shutdown end November 13?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $201.01
No position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $149.69
No position
Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $94.45
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $85.26
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80.06
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $78.49
No position
Will the government shutdown end November 12?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.65
Yes position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $45.22
Yes position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $38.82
No position
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.3
Yes position
Will Russia capture Rodynske by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.14
No position
US forces in Venezuela again by January 10, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.35
Yes position
Will Russia capture Yampil' by November 30?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.37
Yes position
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14%
- Multiplier
- 7.14x
- User PnL
- $12.88
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $12.72
No position
Lighter FDV above $4B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9
No position
Odds of Russia x Ukraine ceasefire on Friday over 10%?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.7
No position
Venezuela election scheduled by January 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.12
Yes position
Will Russia capture Huliaipole by January 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.56
No position
Odds of Russia x Ukraine ceasefire on Friday over 7%?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5
No position
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.54
Yes position
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.87
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?Yes 98.9% 86.85 shares
- Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?Yes 98.7% 129.11 shares
- European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?No 69% 20.98 shares
- Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by March 31, 2026?No 96.6% 14.98 shares
- Will Russia enter Orikhiv by January 31?No 98.5% 7 shares
- Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?No 98.4% 55.9 shares
- U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?No 76% 24.07 shares
- U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?No 77% 100 shares
- Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by March 31, 2026?No 84% 51.25 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28?Yes 68% 269.63 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by March 31, 2026?Yes 79% 317.93 shares
- U.S. forces board Bella 1 by Friday?No 79% 19.78 shares