Yes position
FDA approves Retatrutide this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16%
- Current value
- $16
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $84
- Multiplier
- 6.25x
- User PnL
- $4
Polymarket Trader
praemonitus
0x9debbb714bbe772dc7a160b8ca53208464d84c9e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $68.96
- Realized PnL
- $42.89
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.33
- Potential profit
- $33.33
- User PnL
- -$20
Anthropic position
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Current value
- $11.61
- Potential payout
- $15.58
- Potential profit
- $3.97
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- -$0.39
No position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.9
- Potential profit
- $11.9
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.89
- Potential profit
- $11.89
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.1%
- Current value
- $10.41
- Potential payout
- $11.82
- Potential profit
- $1.41
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0.41
No position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $10.29
- Potential payout
- $11.49
- Potential profit
- $1.21
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0.29
No position
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $10.17
- Potential payout
- $11.49
- Potential profit
- $1.32
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.2%
- Current value
- $10.48
- Potential payout
- $11.14
- Potential profit
- $0.65
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.48
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.8
- Potential profit
- $9.8
- User PnL
- -$5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.8
- Potential profit
- $9.8
- User PnL
- -$5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.98
Yes position
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $2.09
Anthropic position
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 78%
- Multiplier
- 1.28x
- User PnL
- $2
No position
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.89
Yes position
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.6
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $1.11
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1
No position
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.07
No position
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $1.05
Yes position
No one announced as next James Bond?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $1.03
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- User PnL
- $1.03
Los Angeles Dodgers position
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.01
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.01
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $1.01
Yes position
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.01
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:30PM-4:35PM ETUp 57% 10.98 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:30PM-4:35PM ETUp 91% 10.99 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:50PM-3:55PM ETDown 60% 16.67 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:45PM-3:50PM ETDown 62% 16.13 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:40PM-3:45PM ETUp 32% 18.86 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:40PM-3:45PM ETUp 53% 18.87 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:30PM-3:35PM ETUp 75% 13.33 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:20PM-3:25PM ETUp 78% 12.82 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:15PM-3:20PM ETUp 42% 13.51 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:15PM-3:20PM ETUp 74% 13.51 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:00PM-3:05PM ETUp 61% 16.39 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:45AM-10:50AM ETDown 51% 9.8 shares