No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.3%
- Current value
- $802.53
- Potential payout
- $842.11
- Potential profit
- $39.58
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $2.53
Polymarket Trader
JJblair
0x9def55a2066974b33c3971cdbc566e0ffc6256bf
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.11K
- Realized PnL
- $1.86K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Current value
- $363.39
- Potential payout
- $781.48
- Potential profit
- $418.09
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- -$136.61
No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $643.85
- Potential payout
- $648.39
- Potential profit
- $4.54
- User PnL
- $43.85
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $572.78
- Potential payout
- $632.91
- Potential profit
- $60.13
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $72.79
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Current value
- $519.41
- Potential payout
- $531.91
- Potential profit
- $12.5
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $19.42
Yes position
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $301.39
- Potential profit
- $301.39
- User PnL
- -$59.68
No position
Will Xi Jinping purge Zhang Shengmin in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.9%
- Current value
- $211.5
- Potential payout
- $225.35
- Potential profit
- $13.86
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $11.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $448.7
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $158.64
No position
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $139.72
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $128.04
No position
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $120.55
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $119.54
No position
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $111.47
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $89.25
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 14?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $78.16
No position
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $76.62
No position
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.39
No position
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.68
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.59
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.72
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by March 13?
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.47
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.15
No position
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.72
No position
Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.01
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- User PnL
- $20.55
No position
US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.65
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by June 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.89
No position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 13?
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.39
No position
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.64
No position
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.56
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No 99.5% 501.56 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?No 95% 842.11 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 64% 781.48 shares
- Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?Yes 19.8% 301.39 shares
- Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?Yes 57.6% 1,648.07 shares
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 22?No 92.5% 648.39 shares
- Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?Yes 30.7% 650.74 shares
- Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?Yes 30.5% 654.85 shares
- Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?Yes 29.2% 342.5 shares
- Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?Yes 37% 2,396.19 shares
- Will Karl-Anthony Towns win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?No 87.9% 1,137.61 shares
- Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?Yes 20.9% 2,396.19 shares