No position
Iran leadership change by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $990.51
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $9.5
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Polymarket Trader
Legacy.crypto
@slankoiv
0x9dfb2df4d4e8433b6e8fd592d4a9a9366fcae887
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.58K
- Realized PnL
- $3.81K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Current value
- $591.06
- Potential payout
- $605.28
- Potential profit
- $14.22
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $7.57
No position
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.6%
- Current value
- $482.75
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $17.25
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $1.75
No position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $486.12
- Potential profit
- $486.12
- User PnL
- -$105.78
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $460.64
- Potential profit
- $460.64
- User PnL
- -$24.88
No position
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.9%
- Current value
- $409.64
- Potential payout
- $422.96
- Potential profit
- $13.32
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.39
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $350
- Potential profit
- $350
- User PnL
- -$233
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $319.64
- Potential payout
- $322.38
- Potential profit
- $2.74
- User PnL
- $3.38
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $274.5
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $25.5
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- -$4.5
No position
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $293.25
- Potential profit
- $293.25
- User PnL
- -$160.6
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $270.93
- Potential profit
- $270.93
- User PnL
- -$121.57
Yes position
Will England win on 2026-06-23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $238.1
- Potential profit
- $238.1
- User PnL
- -$200
No position
Will "Fuck" or "Fucking" be said 10+ times during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience of the week? (April 13)
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $236.91
- Potential profit
- $236.91
- User PnL
- -$146.23
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $218.63
- Potential profit
- $218.63
- User PnL
- -$102.64
No position
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 62.5%
- Current value
- $130.6
- Potential payout
- $208.96
- Potential profit
- $78.36
- Multiplier
- 1.60x
- User PnL
- -$30.2
No position
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $189
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $11
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $5
No position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.1%
- Current value
- $196.2
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $3.8
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $3
No position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week? (March 29)
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $194.5
- Potential profit
- $194.5
- User PnL
- -$63.05
No position
P2P FDV above $10M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $193.52
- Potential profit
- $193.52
- User PnL
- -$17.42
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $170.31
- Potential profit
- $170.31
- User PnL
- -$86.13
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $168.75
- Potential profit
- $168.75
- User PnL
- -$21.09
No position
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $151.74
- Potential profit
- $151.74
- User PnL
- -$117.37
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $136.25
- Potential profit
- $136.25
- User PnL
- -$33.09
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 75M and 100M views in its first 7 days?
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $374.57
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $289.95
Gorgodze position
Antalya: Adelina Lachinova vs Ekaterine Gorgodze
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $270.1
No position
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $206.03
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $190.96
NRG position
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs NRG (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-In
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $180.93
Sakkari position
Qatar Total Open: Iga Swiatek vs Maria Sakkari
Ends Feb 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $175.55
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $163.95
Lightning position
Panthers vs. Lightning
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $154.55
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?
Ends Nov 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $152.04
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $150.2
No position
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-01-30?
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $134.73
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?
Ends Nov 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $134.53
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $133.44
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $126.09
No position
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-01-31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $121.85
No position
Iran leadership change by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $114.61
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $110.5
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $108.59
No position
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $107.54
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $104.26
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $103.22
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $102.63
No position
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- $101.24
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Antonio Reynoso be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?No 84% 866.17 shares
- Will Antonio Reynoso be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?No 83% 60 shares
- Will Claire Valdez be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?Yes 83% 940.03 shares
- Will Claire Valdez be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?Yes 83% 200 shares
- Will Antonio Reynoso be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?No 82% 200 shares
- Will England win on 2026-06-23?Yes 36% 238.09 shares
- Will England win on 2026-06-23?Yes 84% 476.19 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?No 93% 300 shares
- Iran leadership change by June 30?No 99.1% 1,000 shares
- Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 65.9% 36 shares
- Will France win on 2026-06-22?Yes 95.1% 200 shares
- Will France win on 2026-06-22?Yes 92% 200 shares