Polymarket Trader

0x9dfb...42f6

0x9dfb7ea36dec7ae5e91767aa06b6405d201f42f6

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $37.9
Realized PnL: $69.07
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 9
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $9.29
Potential payout: $47.62
Potential profit: $38.33
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: -$0.71

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 16 to July 18, 2026?

Ends Jul 18, 2026

Implied probability: 66.5%
Current value: $9.44
Potential payout: $14.2
Potential profit: $4.76
Multiplier: 1.50x
User PnL: $3.05

No position

Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 40.5%
Current value: $3.29
Potential payout: $8.13
Potential profit: $4.83
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: $0.04

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $1.79
Potential payout: $7
Potential profit: $5.22
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: -$0.32

Yes position

Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 74.5%
Current value: $4.91
Potential payout: $6.59
Potential profit: $1.68
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: -$0.03

No position

Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $63 Week of July 13 2026?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $6.55
Potential payout: $6.59
Potential profit: $0.04
User PnL: $1.61

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 16 to July 18, 2026?

Ends Jul 18, 2026

Implied probability: 8%
Current value: $0.48
Potential payout: $6
Potential profit: $5.52
Multiplier: 12.50x
User PnL: -$1.26

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?

Ends Jul 21, 2026

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $1.29
Potential payout: $6
Potential profit: $4.71
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $0.87
Potential payout: $6
Potential profit: $5.13
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$0.39

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will South Africa win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.5

Yes position

Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.85

Yes position

Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 Week of July 6 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.32

Over position

Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 4.5

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.88

No position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.85

Under position

Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 1.5

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.72

Up position

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.58

No position

Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.13

Under position

Colombia vs. Ghana: O/U 1.5

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.97

Under position

Paraguay vs. Australia: O/U 1.5

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.65

Under position

Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 1.5

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.47

Under position

Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.35

Yes position

Will Trump say "Communist" during Speech to the Nation?

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.27

No position

Will United States win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.26

Yes position

Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.13

Yes position

Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.94

No position

Netflix (NFLX) Q2 operating margin 34%-36%?

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.77

No position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.71

Under position

United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.53

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.34

Under position

Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 2.5

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.26

Ecuador position

Spread: Germany (-1.5)

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.23

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.22

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-07-09?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.14

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?

Yes 21% 6 shares
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 16 to July 18, 2026?

Yes 29% 6 shares
Will Trump say "Communist" during Speech to the Nation?

Yes 68% 7.1 shares
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?

Yes 75% 6.59 shares
Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" during Speech to the Nation?

Yes 41% 8 shares
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?

Yes 30% 7 shares
France vs. Spain: O/U 1.5

Under 23.7% 4.67 shares
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?

No 67.2% 2.78 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 16 to July 18, 2026?

Yes 45% 14.2 shares
Will France win on 2026-07-14?

Yes 41.2% 3.42 shares
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $63 Week of July 13 2026?

No 75% 6.59 shares
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?

Yes 21% 47.62 shares