Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $145
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $855
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$175
Polymarket Trader
0x9E08660875c91aC24a3faf64Bfa180AaEE2F50f1-1767855640126
0x9e08660875c91ac24a3faf64bfa180aaee2f50f1
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $665.18
- Realized PnL
- $1.3K
- Win rate
- 61.5%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 13
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 59.3%
- Current value
- $372.37
- Potential payout
- $627.94
- Potential profit
- $255.57
- Multiplier
- 1.69x
- User PnL
- -$27.63
Yes position
Iran leadership change by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $449.98
- Potential profit
- $449.98
- User PnL
- -$143.97
No position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 74.4%
- Current value
- $147.81
- Potential payout
- $198.68
- Potential profit
- $50.86
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- -$2.19
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.06K
No position
Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $332.59
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $198
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $58
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $39
Yes position
Will Jerome Powell be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $38.47
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.51
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.38
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$83.01
Yes position
Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$97.69
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$148
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 60% 599.97 shares
- Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No 75.5% 198.68 shares
- Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No 63.7% 627.94 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 32% 400 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 37% 400 shares
- Will Jerome Powell be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes 0.1% 7,306.84 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes 34% 1,299.99 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 32% 1,000 shares
- Will Trump visit China by April 30?Yes 3.4% 500 shares
- Will Jerome Powell be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes 0.3% 3,183.14 shares
- Will Jerome Powell be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes 0.3% 5,000 shares
- Will Trump visit China by April 30?Yes 33% 500 shares