Polymarket Trader

0x9e2Fe0A8003227663b758C7Da22B1b5C1f6be2e2-1782713748051

0x9e2fe0a8003227663b758c7da22b1b5c1f6be2e2

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $795.33
Realized PnL: $5.06K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 15
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.16K
Potential profit: $1.16K
User PnL: -$734.99

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 69%
Current value: $789.93
Potential payout: $1.14K
Potential profit: $355.06
Multiplier: 1.45x
User PnL: $39.93

Yes position

Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $295.7
Potential profit: $295.7
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.99
Potential payout: $180
Potential profit: $179.01
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$0.09

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $73.53
Potential profit: $73.53
User PnL: -$25

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37.88
Potential profit: $37.88
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will there be 80 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.11
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $29.9
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$1.1

Yes position

Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.77
Potential profit: $17.77
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

New pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $0.83
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $14.18
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$0.38

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.67
Potential profit: $6.67
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 16.4%
Current value: $0.96
Potential payout: $5.88
Potential profit: $4.92
Multiplier: 6.11x
User PnL: -$0.04

Yes position

Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $0.83
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.18
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$0.18

No position

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 21.2%
Current value: $0.94
Potential payout: $4.44
Potential profit: $3.5
Multiplier: 4.73x
User PnL: -$0.06

Yes position

Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 29.5%
Current value: $0.76
Potential payout: $2.56
Potential profit: $1.81
Multiplier: 3.39x
User PnL: -$0.24

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2
Potential profit: $2
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $996.08

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $820.26

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $490.95

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $393.8

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $368.87

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $281.15

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $271.63

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
User PnL: $224.48

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $222.25

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $179.38

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $153.22

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $133.59

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $118.27

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $115.93

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $112.84

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.58

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.56

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.06

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.97

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.32

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.4

Yes position

Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.25

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.94

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.16

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET

Up 72% 138.89 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET

Up 79% 31.65 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET

Up 79.8% 31.31 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET

Up 77% 129.87 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET

Up 74.8% 133.69 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET

Up 70% 142.86 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET

Up 63% 158.73 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET

Up 59% 169.49 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET

Up 48% 208.5 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET

Down 99% 858.05 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET

Down 74% 33.78 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET

Up 4% 8.65 shares