Polymarket Trader

0x9E5e6f2fF613e9513b2aaCfe584522ee1575dff2-1762617394239

0x9e5e6f2ff613e9513b2aacfe584522ee1575dff2

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $13.62
Realized PnL: $35.84
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 6
Closed positions: 3
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $117.65
Potential profit: $117.65
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14%
Current value: $12.23
Potential payout: $87.33
Potential profit: $75.1
Multiplier: 7.14x
User PnL: -$7.77

No position

Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83.58
Potential profit: $83.58
User PnL: -$53.49

Patriots position

Seahawks vs. Patriots

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $62.5
Potential profit: $62.5
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $1.39
Potential payout: $31.25
Potential profit: $29.86
Multiplier: 22.47x
User PnL: -$3.61

No position

US forces enter Iran by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.65
Potential profit: $17.65
User PnL: -$7.59

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.51

Yes position

Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.71

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.62

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

US forces enter Iran by December 31?

No 43% 17.65 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

No 58% 8.62 shares
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

Yes 16% 31.25 shares
Seahawks vs. Patriots

Patriots 32% 62.5 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Yes 43% 46.51 shares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Yes 17% 117.65 shares
Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026?

Yes 22.9% 87.33 shares
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?

No 64% 83.58 shares
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?

Yes 36% 148.57 shares
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?

Yes 32.2% 148.58 shares

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