Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Current value
- $279.64
- Potential payout
- $1.36K
- Potential profit
- $1.08K
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- $129.64
Polymarket Trader
theravada
0x9e6321ee4c78b123e73930c41d3fad82b17b1a1b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $547.29
- Realized PnL
- $682.67
- Win rate
- 80%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 5
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $121.88
- Potential payout
- $625
- Potential profit
- $503.13
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- -$28.13
No position
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.4%
- Current value
- $145.78
- Potential payout
- $289.02
- Potential profit
- $143.24
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$4.22
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $266.67
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $264.74
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $154.11
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.37
Yes position
Will Turkey strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$52.21
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes 24% 625 shares
- Will Turkey strike Iran by March 31?Yes 13% 400.3 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes 36% 416.67 shares
- Will US or Israel strike Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes 99.8% 566.03 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Yes 11% 1,364.08 shares
- Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?No 51.9% 289.02 shares
- Will US or Israel strike Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes 53% 566.04 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?No 92% 379.74 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?No 79% 379.75 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?No 75% 856.14 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?No 57% 856.14 shares