Polymarket Trader

SFehr

0x9e784ed73325bbfcebc06c9e276b62eedcee4e67

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $83.94
Realized PnL: $125.56
Win rate: 62.5%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Arvell Reese be the third pick in the 2026 NFL draft?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.83K
Potential profit: $1.83K
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will Corey Conners win the 2026 U.S. Open?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.21K
Potential profit: $1.21K
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will Keaton Verhoeff be drafted with the 3rd pick in the 2026 NHL Draft?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $327.17
Potential profit: $327.17
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $7.66
Potential payout: $312.5
Potential profit: $304.84
Multiplier: 40.82x
User PnL: -$2.34

Yes position

Will Tommy Fleetwood win the 2026 U.S. Open?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $214.9
Potential profit: $214.9
User PnL: -$10

No position

Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by July 3?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 5.7%
Current value: $12.21
Potential payout: $214.29
Potential profit: $202.07
Multiplier: 17.54x
User PnL: -$2.79

Yes position

Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 PGA Championship?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $212.5
Potential profit: $212.5
User PnL: -$23

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $178.57
Potential profit: $178.57
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $156.25
Potential profit: $156.25
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Tyrrell Hatton win the 2026 U.S. Open?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $104
Potential profit: $104
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Logan Stankoven win the 2026 NHL Conn Smythe Trophy?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $103.42
Potential profit: $103.42
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Karolína Muchová be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 5%
Current value: $4.5
Potential payout: $90.91
Potential profit: $86.41
Multiplier: 20.20x
User PnL: $1.5

Yes position

Will Elena Rybakina be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $9.58
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $73.75
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$0.42

Yes position

Will Nikolaj Ehlers win the 2026 NHL Conn Smythe Trophy?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $76.16
Potential profit: $76.16
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71.16
Potential profit: $71.16
User PnL: -$37

Diaz position

MVP Fight Night: Nate Diaz vs. Mike Perry

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41.67
Potential profit: $41.67
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $39.9
Potential payout: $40.04
Potential profit: $0.14
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $32.26
Potential profit: $32.26
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Alex Smalley win the 2026 PGA Championship?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.41
Potential profit: $29.41
User PnL: -$5

Over position

Indiana Fever vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 184.5

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.88
Potential profit: $21.88
User PnL: -$10.5

Yes position

Will Mitch Marner win the 2026 NHL Conn Smythe Trophy?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.93
Potential profit: $18.93
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $10.09
Potential payout: $17.86
Potential profit: $7.77
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: $0.09

No position

Will Egypt advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.86
Potential profit: $17.86
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Saudi Arabia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.51
Potential profit: $13.51
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal minority?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.91

Yes position

Will Nikita Kucherov win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.85

Yes position

Will Caleb Malhotra be drafted with the 3rd pick in the 2026 NHL Draft?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.62

No position

Will the Indianapolis Colts make the playoffs?

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.49

Indiana Fever position

Indiana Fever vs. Los Angeles Sparks

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.44

Yes position

Will 2 QBs get taken in the first round of the 2025 NFL Draft?

Ends Apr 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.11

Yes position

Will Pierre Poilievre lose his seat?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.55

Yes position

Nothing Ever Happens

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.95

Yes position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.46

Yes position

Will Australia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.66

Yes position

Nothing Ever Happens: December

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.93

Yes position

Will the Super Bowl national anthem last between 110 and 120 seconds?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.97

Yes position

Will iPhone 17 cost $1,000 or more?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.67

Joshua position

Who will win Jake Paul vs Anthony Joshua?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.27

Dvalishvili position

Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley

Ends Jun 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.6

Yes position

Will there not be a new Pope in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

No position

Nothing Ever Happens: Taylor Swift Edition

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.18

Yes position

Will the next Pope be from Asia?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Trump say "Jail" at the FIFA World Cup Draw on December 5?

Ends Dec 5, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the next Pope be from Europe?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Trump pardon less than 250 Jan 6 protestors in his first 100 days?

Ends Apr 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Trump pardon 1,500 or more Jan 6 protestors in his first 100 days?

Ends Apr 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the Bloc Québécois win the most seats in Quebec in the next Canadian Election?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.23

Yes position

Will Corey Conners win The 2025 Masters?

Ends Apr 14, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by July 3?

No 7% 214.29 shares
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

Yes 56% 17.86 shares
Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?

No 1.1% 103.24 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

No 2.8% 178.57 shares
Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?

No 4.8% 103.25 shares
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 3.2% 312.5 shares
Will Karolína Muchová be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?

Yes 3.3% 90.91 shares
Will Elena Rybakina be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?

Yes 12% 83.33 shares
Will Keaton Verhoeff be drafted with the 3rd pick in the 2026 NHL Draft?

Yes 1.5% 327.17 shares
Will Caleb Malhotra be drafted with the 3rd pick in the 2026 NHL Draft?

Yes 46% 32.62 shares
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?

Yes 99.9% 40.04 shares
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 6.4% 156.25 shares