Polymarket Trader

LePaul

0x9e944b07f1b1f09b0ea27eaadf8f05a22012fc93

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $551.64
Realized PnL: $239.37
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 22
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.66K
Potential profit: $2.66K
User PnL: -$17.69

Yes position

Will Linke win the second-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?

Ends Sep 20, 2026

Implied probability: 32.5%
Current value: $211.53
Potential payout: $650.86
Potential profit: $439.33
Multiplier: 3.08x
User PnL: $68.88

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $476.24
Potential profit: $476.24
User PnL: -$68.18

No position

Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $85 Week of July 13 2026?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 97.9%
Current value: $220.01
Potential payout: $224.84
Potential profit: $4.83
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $18.41

Yes position

Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?

Ends Sep 20, 2026

Implied probability: 35%
Current value: $70
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $130
Multiplier: 2.86x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $90
Potential profit: $90
User PnL: -$30.02

No position

Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $73.95
Potential profit: $73.95
User PnL: -$56.94

No position

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $64.23
Potential profit: $64.23
User PnL: -$48

Yes position

Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?

Ends Sep 20, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $50.1
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $9.9
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $3.3

Alexander Zverev position

Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverev

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$1.1

No position

Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.81
Potential profit: $23.81
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Portugal leading at halftime?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$4.2

Yes position

Portugal vs. Spain: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$5.4

Yes position

Czechia leading at halftime?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.99
Potential profit: $19.99
User PnL: -$5.1

Yes position

Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14
Potential profit: $14
User PnL: -$6.72

Yes position

Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 2 Czechia?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13
Potential profit: $13
User PnL: -$1.04

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13
Potential profit: $13
User PnL: -$6.37

Yes position

Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$5.5

Yes position

Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 1 Czechia?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$1.5

Yes position

Exact Score: Korea Republic 0 - 1 Czechia?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$1.1

Yes position

Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.14
Potential profit: $7.14
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Türkiye leading at halftime?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.86
Potential profit: $2.86
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 41.6%
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: $60.35

Yes position

Will Netflix (NFLX) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.6

Yes position

Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 1 Spain?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18

Argentina position

Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.96

Yes position

Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.03

Yes position

Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.46

Yes position

Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: $9.39

No position

Will Ahmed Fathi score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.28

Yes position

Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.88

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.52

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-06?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.36

No position

Will Lennart Kahl score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.22

Yes position

Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.2

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.8

Yes position

Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.77

No position

Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.99

No position

Will Pau Cubarsí score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 97.3%
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $5.95

No position

Will United States win on 2026-06-06?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.94

No position

Will Tahith Chong score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.4

No position

Will Haissem Hassan score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.2

No position

Will Ibrahim Sangaré score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.8

Yes position

Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 60.5%
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: $3.29

No position

Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3

Yes position

Bosnia-Herzegovina leading at halftime?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.99

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Linke win the second-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?

Yes 21.9% 900 shares
Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?

Yes 35% 200 shares
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $85 Week of July 13 2026?

Yes 8.8% 40 shares
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $85 Week of July 13 2026?

Yes 11.1% 40 shares
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $85 Week of July 13 2026?

No 89.7% 39.84 shares
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $85 Week of July 13 2026?

No 89.7% 100 shares
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $85 Week of July 13 2026?

No 89.5% 45 shares
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $85 Week of July 13 2026?

No 89.7% 40 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?

No 74.5% 4.03 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?

No 74.7% 60.2 shares
Will England win on 2026-07-15?

Yes 33% 30.3 shares
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 23.1% 129.87 shares