Polymarket Trader

NERA

@neracrpto

0x9e9ad7b5ca1c0c008b25a0fcfd7ffea62bb15d99

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $9.73K
Realized PnL: $31.64K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 21
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $25
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $9.98K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $65
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $9.94K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$35

Yes position

Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $5
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$35

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.7%
Current value: $1.37K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $8.64K
Multiplier: 7.33x
User PnL: -$305

Yes position

Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $5
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$25

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 16?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9K
Potential profit: $9K
User PnL: -$30.99

No position

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $4.63K
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $375
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: -$25

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 18?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.06K
Potential profit: $3.06K
User PnL: -$12.22

No position

Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?

Ends Nov 23, 2025

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $2.08K
Potential payout: $2.09K
Potential profit: $13.59
User PnL: $521.65

Yes position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 59.5%
Current value: $1.19K
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $810
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: $70

Yes position

Will USD fall to 1.3M Iranian rials by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.55K
Potential profit: $1.55K
User PnL: -$90.27

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 18?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$8

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 18?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $475.63
Potential profit: $475.63
User PnL: -$1.43

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 16?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $299
Potential profit: $299
User PnL: -$2.69

No position

Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87%
Current value: $226.2
Potential payout: $260
Potential profit: $33.8
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: $70.2

No position

Will Jesús Alfredo Guzmán Salazar be arrested in 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 53.5%
Current value: $83.37
Potential payout: $155.84
Potential profit: $72.47
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: -$16.36

Yes position

Will Vladimir Padrino López be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.22
Potential payout: $144.17
Potential profit: $143.95
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$1.95

Yes position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 44%
Current value: $30.61
Potential payout: $69.57
Potential profit: $38.96
Multiplier: 2.27x
User PnL: $4.36

No position

US recognize Somaliland by June 30, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 84.7%
Current value: $31.04
Potential payout: $36.67
Potential profit: $5.63
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $5.37

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.67
Potential profit: $17.67
User PnL: -$6.18

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.04
Potential payout: $6.33
Potential profit: $6.29
Multiplier: 142.86x
User PnL: -$3.82

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.09K

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.27K

Yes position

Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.42K

Yes position

Will Mikey Madison be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Actors?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.19K

No position

Will Bitcoin hit $100k in November?

Ends Nov 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.88K

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in November?

Ends Nov 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.75K

Yes position

Will Türkiye recognize Syrian government by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.61K

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $3,250 in November?

Ends Nov 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.29K

No position

Israel military action against Iraq before November?

Ends Oct 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.27K

Yes position

Ethereum above $3,300 on November 29?

Ends Nov 29, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.1K

Yes position

Israel military action against Iran by end of 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.08K

No position

Hamas leadership out of Qatar before Trump in office?

Ends Jan 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $939.61

Yes position

JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $878.86

No position

Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $857.74

No position

Will CZ return to Binance by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $835.96

No position

Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $797.33

Yes position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $791.32

Yes position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $712.18

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $700

Yes position

Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 15?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $678.68

Yes position

Will Khamenei tweet again by March 7?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $657.09

Yes position

Will Game 7 of the World Chess Championship end in a draw?

Ends Dec 3, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $625.8

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $114,000 on October 27?

Ends Oct 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $625

No position

Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $601.17

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.9% 19,999.92 shares
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.1% 30,000 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Yes 40.3% 278.86 shares
Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?

No 78.8% 107 shares
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?

No 79.1% 1,885.6 shares
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?

No 79.6% 114.4 shares
Will the RSF capture Khartoum by June 30?

No 98.8% 120 shares
Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?

No 98.2% 555 shares
Epstein or Maxwell confirmed Mossad operatives by June 30?

No 98.1% 45 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 18?

No 0.4% 3,055.37 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 18?

Yes 1.6% 500 shares
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1% 10,000 shares